Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.

---

TLDR:

• BTC: Testing new range, $108k must be reclaimed or risk downside structure break.
• ETH: Clinging to lower support, needs $4,250 for bullish setup. Watching RSI divergence and orderblock levels.
• SOL: Holding major support, $213 resistance is key; breakdown brings $155-$120 into play.
• HYPE: Breaking down, $38 is the make-or-break level for bounce or further drop to $28.
• AURA: Remains bullish, $0.10 to reclaim, danger below $0.05; eyeing $0.15+ if trend holds.

Watch our full Market Breakdown video below to see how we’re positioning across BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE, and AURA this week. We’ll walk through each chart, the exact breakout levels to watch, and what signals could confirm the next major move.

BTC:

• Price Range: $101,000 – $108,000
• Bias: Neutral
• Resistance and Key Level to Reclaim: $108,000
• Support Zone: $101,000 – $102,000
• Breakdown Trigger: $98,000 – $100,000

BTC is about to break support around $108,000, depending on how it closes today. The new range is now $101k - $108k. If $108 is reclaimed, we’re all set for a retest of $119k. But if it breaks below $98k - $100k, things get a bit riskier, and it could damage our bullish thesis since it would break the market structure on longer timeframes.

The V-reverse scenario (a sharp price recovery that mirrors the drop) seems to be off the table with a break of $108k support. We need to see $108k reclaimed to stay bullish, and it looks like we’ll need to see some re-accumulation in the $101k - 108k range. A retest of Friday’s wick at $102k is definitely on the table. If it fails to break out or fails to make a swing high, that would be a bit of a bummer, but we’ll keep our eyes peeled and stay positive!

Technical analysis

• BTC is fighting to reclaim the $108k resistance after losing it as support yesterday.
• If $108k isn’t regained soon, expect a retest of $101k-$102k, with downside risk to $98k.
• Range gets riskier down here; watch for bullish reversal or further structural pain.
• Bounce off support or clear rejection will determine short-term direction and trigger moves in majors.

Cryptonary's take

BTC's price action is drifting into a dangerous area, with critical supports continuously tested. Until $108k gets reclaimed with confidence, caution dominates and bounces may remain weak. A decisive close below $101k opens the door for harsh liquidations.

• Next Support: $101,000
• Next Resistance: $108,000
• Direction: Neutral
• Upside Target: $119,000
• Downside Target: $98,000

---

ETH:

• Price Range: $3,750 – $4,250
• Bias: Neutral
• Resistance: $4,250
• Support Zone: $3,750 – $3,850
• Breakdown Trigger: $3,700

ETH is currently testing the lower end of our support area at $3,750. To make a bullish case, we need to reclaim $4,250 and then aim for $4,800. There’s a chance of a bullish divergence on the RSI daily chart (when price makes lower lows but the RSI makes higher lows, signaling weakening selling pressure and a possible upward reversal).

For now, ETH might retest our lower support again, depending on how BTC moves. The $3,400 - $3,500 area is important because there’s a daily orderblock, the 200D EMA (long term critical moving average), and the low of Friday’s wick that could trigger a reaction.

Technical analysis

• ETH must reclaim $4,250 for any meaningful bullish reversal – otherwise, it’s at risk of testing deeper lows.
• Watch daily RSI for divergence signals as a possible bounce trigger.
• Breakdown below $3,700 increases risk of larger wave down to $3,400-$3,500 region with lots of liquidity trapped below.

Cryptonary's take

ETH closely follows BTC’s lead. Unless BTC bounces, ETH may breach its critical support and drop to $3,400-$3,500. Any bullish divergence on the RSI needs fast confirmation.

• Next Support: $3,750
• Next Resistance: $4,250
• Direction: Neutral
• Upside Target: $4,800
• Downside Target: $3,400

---

SOL:

• Price Range: $178 – $210
• Bias: Neutral
• Resistance and Key Level to Reclaim: $213
• Support Zone: $178 – $190
• Breakdown Trigger: Break below $175

SOL is currently testing the lower end of our support area at $178, right where the 200D SMA is. There’s a chance of a bullish divergence on the RSI daily chart, depending on how the day goes. If SOL breaks below $175, it could move to the $120 - $190 range. If SOL gets weaker below $175, people will start looking at the $155 mid-range area and the $120 bottom of the range. If SOL breaks above $213, it could put $237 back on the table, and if it breaks above that, we could be headed towards $253.

Technical analysis

• SOL fighting at key 200D SMA support around $178 – bounce or breakdown imminent.
• Below $175 signals risk toward $155 or even $120 with increased volatility.
• Bullish break above $213 reopens $237-$253 upside with resistance stair-step.

Cryptonary's take

SOL is hanging by a thread. Lose $175, and momentum shifts sharply bearish, with lower targets opening. Bulls need strong buyer response to avoid further decline.

• Next Support: $178
• Next Resistance: $213
• Direction: Neutral
• Upside Target: $237
• Downside Target: $120

---

HYPE:

• Price Range: $28 – $44
• Bias: Neutral
• Resistance and Key Level to Reclaim: $38
• Support Zone: $28
• Breakdown Trigger: Break below $36

HYPE is currently breaking down from our $37- $38 area. There’s a chance of a bullish divergence on the RSI daily chart, depending on how the day goes. If HYPE breaks below $36, it could retest Friday’s wick at $32, and the next support would be around $28. That would be a great entry point! If HYPE breaks above $38, it could push to $44.

Technical analysis

• Currently breaking down from critical support at $37-$38.
• Loss of $36 sends HYPE toward $32 and then strong support at $28.
• Bullish scenario if quick reclaim above $38; next target $44.

Cryptonary's take

HYPE downside momentum growing. Bulls need quick reclaim of $38 to avert further selling. Below $36, risk bounces toward $32 and $28. Waiting for clearer signals before adding.

• Next Support: $28
• Next Resistance: $38
• Direction: Neutral
• Upside Target: $44
• Downside Target: $28

---

AURA:

• Price Range: $0.065 – $0.1
• Bias: Bullish
• Resistance and Key Level to Reclaim: $0.1
• Support Zone: $0.065
• Breakdown Trigger: Break below $0.05

Here’s a quick rundown of AURA’s current situation.

AURA is currently hovering around $0.072, bouncing between the $0.10 resistance and the $0.065 support that was tested again today. If we manage to reclaim the 200-Day EMA+SMA (a crucial long-term trend indicator), we could see a jump to $0.15 and even hit an all-time high faster than you might think.

But here’s the catch: if AURA dips below $0.05, it’ll attract the attention of investors who are looking for a dip-buying opportunity. We don’t think that’s going to happen, so we’re sticking to our steady DCA strategy from now on.

Technical analysis

• Hovering above $0.065 with volatility, $0.10 as key resistance for a renewed breakout.
• Closes above long-term moving averages (EMA/SMA) could fire up next rally to $0.15 – $0.18.
• Breakdown below $0.05 likely attracts buyers, but macro thesis weakens.

Cryptonary's take

AURA stands out as one of few strong assets in this market. Critical to watch for daily close above $0.10 for confirmation of continued bullish trend.

• Next Support: $0.065
• Next Resistance: $0.10
• Direction: Bullish
• Upside Target: $0.15
• Downside Target: $0.05

---