Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.

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TLDR:

• BTC: Broke pennant; bullish if above $114k, next at $119k, caution below $107k.
• ETH: Needs $4,250 reclaim for bulls; downside if lost, target $3,400–$3,500.
• SOL: Watch $213 break for rally, weak below $175, buys if $120–$155 tested.
• HYPE: Bullish—former resistance now support at $43–$44, next resistance $51 and $59.
• AURA: Neutral to bullish; Adam & Eve bottom forming, breakout above $0.10 targets $0.15.

Watch our full Market Breakdown video below to see how we’re positioning across BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE, and AURA this week. We’ll walk through each chart, the exact breakout levels to watch, and what signals could confirm the next major move.

BTC:

• Price Range: $110,000 – $119,000
• Bias: Neutral to Bullish
• Resistance: $119,000
• Support: $114,000
• Breakdown Trigger: $106,000–$107,000

Yesterday, BTC broke the pennant to the upside (a symmetrical triangle that forms as price action tightens with higher lows and lower highs) following the comments from China’s Vice Minister of Commerce. The break of this structure and $114k is important as we now have a bullish market structure on lower timeframes. $114K was a very important resistance now possibly turning support as it is the Monthly/Quarterly Open, previous lower high and also a daily breaker (a breaker is a failed order block that becomes a reversal zone after market structure shifts and price breaks through the original order block). As long as $114k holds, we expect $119k next. We can also note that there currently is a CME gap down to $112k (a CME gap is a price gap on the Bitcoin chart that forms when the CME Futures market closes for the weekend and then reopens at a different price, leaving an untraded range that traders often expect to be filled later). Below $107k, and we would target around $100k–$102k as we would expect a reaction from this order block and possible Swing Failure Pattern area (a Swing Failure Pattern occurs when price briefly breaks a previous high or low to trigger stop orders but then reverses sharply in the opposite direction, signaling a potential reversal). Below $98k–$100k, things get a bit riskier, and it could damage our bullish thesis since it would break the market structure on higher timeframes.

 

Technical analysis

• Pennant breakout confirmed by macro news—bullish structure on lower time frames.
• $114k turns support (monthly/quarterly open, prior lower high, daily breaker).
• CME gap below at $112k could be tested if $114k fails, but bulls remain in control above $114k.
• Sub-$107k opens downside risk; $100k–$102k possible reversal/SFP zone.
• A deeper break sub-$98k risks high timeframe structure and bullish setup.

Cryptonary's take

BTC’s pennant break on positive macro news shifts bias to bullish. Key is to hold $114k for a push higher—watch CME gap below as a short-term magnet, but big risk appears only under $107k.

• Next Support: $114,000
• Next Resistance: $119,000
• Direction: Neutral to Bullish
• Upside Target: $119,000
• Downside Target: $106,000–$102,000

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ETH:

• Local Price Range: $3,850 – $4,250
• Bias: Neutral to Bullish
• Resistance: $4,250
• Support Zone: $3,750 – $3,800
• Breakdown Trigger: $3,700

As expected in the previous Market Direction, BTC breaking the pennant upward led to ETH following and testing $4,250 next. To make a bullish case, we need to reclaim $4,250 and then aim for $4,800. For now, ETH is still ranging in the bottom half of the range between $3,850 – $4,250. A break below $3,700 would target the $3,400–$3,500 area, which is important because there's a daily order block, the 200D EMA (long-term critical moving average), and the low of Friday’s wick that could also trigger a Swing Failure Pattern.

 

Technical analysis

• ETH followed BTC, spiking into $4,250 resistance—key decision zone.
• Rangebound between $3,850–$4,250; needs $4,250 flip to validate a bullish move toward $4,800.
• Breakdown below $3,700 targets a test of $3,400–$3,500, also near 200D EMA and SFP risk.

Cryptonary's take

ETH’s fate is tied to BTC but needs to reclaim $4,250 for real trend shift. Strong bounce zone below if it falters, but bulls want to see range expansion soon.

• Next Support: $3,750 – $3,800
• Next Resistance: $4,250
• Direction: Neutral to Bullish
• Upside Target: $4,800
• Downside Target: $3,400–$3,500

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SOL:

• Price Range: $178 – $210
• Bias: Neutral
• Resistance and Key Level to Reclaim: $213
• Support Zone: $178 – $190
• Breakdown Trigger: Break below $175

SOL followed BTC’s lead and broke the pennant upward which helps the bullish thesis. If SOL breaks above $213, this would confirm the double bottom and push us to $237 and beyond (a double bottom is a bullish reversal pattern where price forms two equal lows before breaking above the resistance between them, signaling a potential trend shift upward). If SOL weakens below $175, people will start looking at the $155 mid-range area and the $120 bottom of the range, which would be incredible buying opportunities.

 

Technical analysis

• Pennant breakout similar to BTC’s structure affirms recovery.
• Clear upside if $213 breaks—sets up for double bottom rally to $237+.
• Failure under $175 opens risk to $155, then deeper to $120 as bargain levels.

Cryptonary's take

Watch $213 for confirmation of a bullish reversal. Sub-$175 threatens big drops but would present strong value for longer-term buyers.

• Next Support: $178 – $190
• Next Resistance: $213
• Direction: Neutral
• Upside Target: $237
• Downside Target: $155 – $120

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HYPE:

• Price Range: $43 – $51
• Bias: Bullish
• Resistance: $51
• Support Zone: $43–$44
• Breakdown Trigger: Break below $42

Since its listing on Robinhood at the end of last week, HYPE is the strongest of our majors. This bullish news made HYPE break above our previous resistance at $43–$44 and get back into the channel. $43–$44 is now support and closest resistances are $51 and $59. If HYPE breaks below $40–$42, we would get more neutral as it could retest $35, and the next big support would be around $28. That would be an incredible buy point, as $28 is both an important horizontal support and the 61.8% fibonacci retracement of the entire $9–$59 move (the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement is a key technical level marking a strong potential reversal point where price tends to bounce or reject within a trend).

 

Technical analysis

• Strong post-listing rally; channel reclaimed, former resistance now support at $43–$44.
• Fast moves possible to $51 and $59 if bulls hold.
• Bears take over below $40–$42, buy zone emerges at $28 (key fib + horizontal support).

Cryptonary's take

HYPE stands out for relative strength; breakout buyers have clear control above $43–$44. Watching for pullbacks to $28 as must-buy territory if breakdown occurs.

• Next Support: $43–$44, then $40–$42
• Next Resistance: $51, $59
• Direction: Bullish
• Upside Target: $51, $59
• Downside Target: $35, $28

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AURA:

• Price Range: $0.065 – $0.1
• Bias: Neutral to Bullish
• Resistance and Key Level to Reclaim: $0.1
• Support Zone: $0.065
• Breakdown Trigger: Break below $0.05

AURA is still moving within a healthy range between the $0.10 resistance and $0.065 support. It had a strong move up last days and is currently at $0.088, fighting to break and reclaim the the 200-Day EMA + SMA (key long-term trend indicators). A break above resistance at $0.1 and momentum could quickly build toward $0.15 and beyond. AURA is looking like an Adam and Eve bottom, which is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend and consists of two consecutive bottoms: -the first (Adam) is sharp and V-shaped, showing a quick sell-off and rebound. -the second (Eve) is rounded and wider, showing slower, steadier accumulation. The pattern would confirm on a price break above the resistance at $0.12. Even if we were to see a dip below $0.05, it would likely be a fantastic buying opportunity attracting long term investors. At this stage, that scenario looks quite unlikely.

 

Technical analysis

• Ranging between $0.065–$0.10 while consolidating for a move.
• Price at $0.088, trying to reclaim the 200D EMA + SMA cluster.
• Adam & Eve bottom forming, bullish confirmation if $0.12 is taken out.
• Sub-$0.05 dip remains unlikely, but would be prime buying territory.

Cryptonary's take

AURA still in healthy consolidation—watch for move above $0.10 to trigger momentum. Long-term buyers sitting alert if any flush below $0.05.

• Next Support: $0.065
• Next Resistance: $0.1, $0.12, then $0.15
• Direction: Neutral to Bullish
• Upside Target: $0.12, $0.15
• Downside Target: $0.05

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