Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.

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Quick bridge from last Friday…

Market structure had already begun shifting in the prior analysis, and that shift has continued to play out as expected over the past week. We carried a neutral-bullish bias on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, and price action has largely respected those directional cues since last Friday.

Bitcoin followed through by reclaiming $90,200 and pushing higher out of its range, while Ethereum confirmed strength by breaking above $3,050. Solana delivered the cleanest continuation, holding its higher-timeframe base (200 EMA on weekly at $123) and expanding decisively into prior resistance zones ($144). These moves validated the earlier shift in structure we had been discussing in the past few days.

As this momentum developed, it also became clear that strength was no longer limited to majors alone. To better capture what is happening across the broader market, not just BTC and ETH, we are adding Fartcoin to today’s Market Direction. Its internal structure break and clean follow through gives us insight into where risk appetite is expressing itself beyond large caps, setting the context for today’s expanded analysis.

TLDR

• Bitcoin (BTC): Reclaimed $90.2k, $93.15k flipped to support. Holding above $93k keeps $96k-$100.3k in play.
• Ethereum (ETH): Clean breakout above $3,055, now battling $3,234; above this opens $3,350- $3,436.
• Solana (SOL): Strong continuation above $126, $135 reclaimed. Holding above $135 targets $144.5 then $155.8.
• HyperLiquid (HYPE): Reclaimed $25.2 and $26.9, holding above $26.9 opens $28.3 and $30.6.
• Aura (AURA): Breakout confirmed above $0.03, new local high made around $0.04 (+50%), holding above $0.035 targets $0.048-$0.05.
• Fartcoin (FARTCOIN): Reclaimed $0.409, upside space toward $0.55 (200 EMA) and $0.61 remains open. Bias bullish while above 0.409, retest could precede continuation.

Bitcoin

TA:

Bitcoin has delivered its first clean continuation since the late December downtrend breakout, with price decisively reclaiming $90,200 and extending into the next higher timeframe resistance at $93,150.

Following the breakout above $93,150 earlier this week, BTC has pulled back into that level and is now attempting to flip prior resistance into support, a structurally constructive development.

As long as price continues to hold above $93,150, market structure remains intact and biased toward continuation.

This move marks a shift away from holiday driven compression, with early January finally showing follow through after weeks of failed breakouts and range trading.

RSI has expanded into bullish territory, now hovering around 64 with average around 50, its strongest reading in weeks, while the 200 EMA near $100,300 has flattened meaningfully, reducing higher-timeframe downside pressure.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $93,150
• Next Resistance: $96,000
• Direction: Neutral-Bullish
• Upside Target: $100,300
• Downside Target: $90,200

Bitcoin Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

Bitcoin has finally shifted from consolidation into continuation, confirming strength through acceptance above both $90,200 and $93,150. This is the first breakout since late December that has shown real follow-through, supported by improving momentum and healthier RSI structure.

The $93,150 level is now pivotal. Holding this zone keeps BTC positioned for a test of $96,000, where higher timeframe liquidity is expected. A reaction there would be normal, but acceptance above $96,000 would materially strengthen the case for an extension toward the $100,000-$100,300 region.

For now, bias remains neutral-bullish, with trend continuation favored while above $93,150. Any loss of this level would shift focus back toward $90,200, but unless that occurs, Bitcoin appears to be transitioning into a more directional phase after weeks of indecision.

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Ethereum

TA:

Ethereum has cleanly resolved higher after reclaiming $3,055, flipping former resistance into potential support and confirming a structural shift that was missing in prior attempts.

Following the reclaim, ETH accelerated into the next higher timeframe resistance at $3,234, validating the breakout and keeping price in a controlled grind rather than an impulsive blow off.

Price is now broken above the $3,230-$3,234 resistance zone, with structure remaining bullish as long as $3,055 holds on any pullback.

This recent sustained push through $3,234 opens the path toward the $3,350-$3,360 region, where the daily 200 EMA sits, followed by the higher-timeframe target at $3,436.

RSI has expanded into bullish territory, hovering around 65 with average around 51, while the daily 200 EMA near $3,350 acts as the next meaningful technical resistance.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $3,234
• Next Resistance: $3,436
• Direction: Neutral-Bullish
• Upside Target: $3,658
• Downside Target: $3,055

Ethereum Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

Ethereum has cleanly shifted from range expansion into trend continuation, with $3,234 now trying to get established as a key support level. This shift materially improves ETH’s structure and places it in a stronger technical position relative to recent weeks.

The zone between the daily 200 EMA ($3,351) and $3,436 is the next area where ETH will be tested. How price behaves here will be important, acceptance opens the path toward $3,658, while short term consolidation would still be healthy within the broader bullish framework.

As long as $3,234 holds, Ethereum remains structurally strong. Any pullbacks toward this region are viewed as corrective, with $3,055 marking the level where this bullish thesis would start to weaken.

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Solana

TA:

Solana has cleanly resolved higher after reclaiming $126.15, with the breakout candle from last Friday marking a decisive shift in structure.

Since that reclaim, price has continued to grind higher with strong follow through, pushing through the $135.4 resistance without any meaningful pullback yet.

The $135.4 level now acts as the first key support, and a shallow retest into this zone would be considered healthy as long as price holds above it.

Price is now rotating toward the prior range high at $144.52, a level that capped Solana for most of mid October through mid December and represents the next major structural test.

RSI is elevated but constructive around 65 average at 48, while the daily 200 EMA near $162 is beginning to flatten. The weekly 200 EMA at $123 held cleanly, reinforcing the higher timeframe bullish base.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $135.4
• Next Resistance: $144.52
• Direction: Neutral-Bullish
• Upside Target: $155.82
• Downside Target: $126.15

Solana Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

Solana is one of the stronger charts among majors, having followed through cleanly after reclaiming $126.15 and breaking above $135.4 with momentum. The move has been orderly, supported by RSI expansion and a confirmed hold of the weekly 200 EMA, a key confluence that underpinned the breakout thesis.

While price is approaching a heavier resistance band at $144.52, any consolidation or shallow pullback above $135 would be considered constructive. Acceptance above $144.5 would mark a full range expansion and open the door toward higher upside targets.

For now, the bias remains neutral-bullish, with structure favoring continuation as long as Solana holds above former resistance turned support.

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HyperLiquid

TA:

Since the last analysis, HYPE has invalidated the prior breakdown risk by reclaiming the $25.2 level, flipping former resistance back into support and stabilising structure.

After reclaiming $25.2, price pushed into the $26.9 resistance zone, where it initially stalled, but has now managed to press above this level as well.

Price is currently holding above $26.9, attempting to establish it as a new support, while trading just below the next resistance band around $28.39.

As long as HYPE continues to hold above $26.9, structure favours continuation.

RSI has recovered into neutral territory around 52 with average at 44, signalling improving momentum. The daily 200 EMA near $34.9 remains overhead but has begun to flatten, suggesting consolidation.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $26.9
• Next Resistance: $28.39
• Direction: Neutral Bullish
• Upside Target: $30.64
• Downside Target: $25.2

HyperLiquid Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

HyperLiquid has meaningfully improved its structure after reclaiming $25.2 and pushing through $26.9, shifting the bias back toward continuation. The ability to hold above former resistance is a constructive signal, especially with RSI recovering from previously oversold conditions.

That said, with the 200 EMA still overhead and price approaching the $28.39 resistance band, some consolidation or chop would be healthy. As long as $26.9 holds, the path of least resistance remains higher, with $30.6 as the next major upside objective.

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Aura

TA:

Aura has finally delivered the breakout we were tracking for weeks, reclaiming and cleanly flipping the $0.03 level after Solana accepted above $126.15, triggering a strong beta driven expansion.

Price moved aggressively from the $0.025 accumulation zone to $0.04, marking a 50% expansion in a short window, confirming that prior consolidation was accumulation driven.

Aura is now holding above the $0.035 region, sustained acceptance above this zone would indicate structural continuation.

RSI has expanded to 61 with average around 40, confirming a momentum regime shift. The daily 200 EMA near $0.065 remains overhead, but continued grinding higher would begin flattening it.

• Direction: Bullish
• Action Plan: DCA and Raid

Aura Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take

Aura is executing exactly as outlined in prior analyses. The reclaim of $0.03 alongside Solana’s breakout above $126 unlocked beta flows, and price responded with a clean expansion, validating the accumulation thesis built over the past few weeks.

As long as Aura holds above the $0.035-$0.03 zone, structure remains firmly bullish. Continued basing here opens the path toward the $0.048-$0.05 region next, while any shallow pullbacks into former resistance should be viewed as constructive, not bearish, unless structure is lost.

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Fartcoin

TA:

FARTCOIN is one of the few names showing a clean internal structure break on the upside, rather than just reacting with the broader market. The break above 0.409 marks the first meaningful structural reclaim since late October.

The 0.409 zone, which capped price for months, has now been flipped. As long as price bases above this level, downside remains structurally contained.

There is a clear price inefficiency overhead, with little resistance until the 0.54-0.55 (20% from CMP) region, aligning with the daily 200 EMA. This creates a favourable expansion window if momentum sustains.

Above the 200 EMA, the next inefficiency top sits near 0.61 (35% from CMP), offering further upside continuation if the broader market remains supportive, particularly if SOL continues higher.

Near-term risk lies in momentum overheating. A controlled pullback or consolidation above 0.409 would be constructive and allow structure to strengthen before continuation.

RSI is elevated around 71 with average at 52, signalling short-term extension. A cooldown in RSI, potentially via a retest of 0.409, would make this setup healthier. The 200 EMA near 0.55 is the first major technical checkpoint.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: 0.409
• Next Resistance: 0.543-0.55
• Direction: Bullish
• Upside Target: 0.61
• Downside Target: 0.322

Fartcoin Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

FARTCOIN stands out as a relative strength play within the meme complex, having already achieved a structural breakout while many peers remain range bound. The reclaim of 0.409 is technically significant and shifts the market from distribution into expansion mode.

The open inefficiency toward the 200 EMA around 0.55 presents a clear, measurable opportunity, with further upside toward 0.61 if momentum persists. However, given elevated RSI, chasing strength is less optimal than allowing price to consolidate or retest reclaimed support.

As long as 0.409 holds, the bias remains bullish. A brief cooldown would not be a negative signal, instead, it would likely reinforce the structure needed for continuation. If SOL and the broader market maintain strength, FARTCOIN has room to be a strong relative performer in the near term.

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Closing Thoughts

The market has clearly picked up momentum, with risk appetite improving across majors and select alts. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and HyperLiquid have all pushed through key levels and continued higher, signalling a shift away from defensive price action toward more constructive participation. This broad-based follow through suggests capital is rotating back into risk and not fading rallies.

Notably, this shift has been most visible in areas that were widely written off just weeks ago. Meme assets, largely considered “dead” during the prior drawdown, have staged some of the strongest rebounds, indicating that speculative appetite never truly left the market, only compressed. Fartcoin (also Doge, Pepe, Bonk etc.) are clear examples of this dynamic, which is precisely why it has been included in today’s report.

That said, with several charts already extended short-term, some FOMO is naturally creeping in, this is not a phase to chase impulsively. The market is still early in its broader move, and cleaner, higher probability opportunities will continue to present themselves ahead.

From here, focus remains firmly level driven. Bitcoin’s reaction around $96,000 will be pivotal in determining whether momentum extends toward six figures or pauses into consolidation. Ethereum faces its key test near $3,436, Solana at $144.5, and HyperLiquid around $30. Going forward, Market Direction will continue to adapt dynamically, covering the assets showing the clearest structure and momentum at the time, to ensure readers maintain an edge as conditions evolve.

Cryptonary, OUT!