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Market Direction

BTC, ETH and More: Majors Reclaim Critical Levels

Published: Nov 28, 2025
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The market is finally showing signs of life again, and if this momentum holds, the next few days could bring some truly exciting moves. Let’s walk through what’s unfolding...

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.


TLDR:

  • BTC: Reclaimed weekly FVG, now above $90,200. Holding it is key; watch $100,305 and $104,630 as next upside targets.
  • ETH: Flipped $2,890 support; needs a firm hold above $3,055 for $3,436–$3,500 targets. Structure improving.
  • SOL: Recovered $133.64 and $140.43. If $140.43 holds, $155.82 and $174.31 are in play. Trend turning positive.
  • HYPE: Reclaimed $35.37. Above $38.53 (200 EMA) would turn bias neutral-bullish with $42.68 next.
  • AURA: $0.040 acts as support. Accumulating above $0.035 keeps the neutral-bullish case alive. SMT confirmation needed.

BTC:

  • Bullish follow-through as BTC reclaims $86,450, establishing support above this key level.
  • Broke straight into the $90,200–$91,140 target zone, now attempting to hold $90,200 as new support.
  • Upside: clear zone up to next resistance at $100,305, then further to $104,630 (daily FVG cluster).
  • RSI rebounding from oversold, with daily 200 EMA around $105,300 as the next major confluence resistance.
BTC's Open Interest (by USD value): https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-248.png

Technical analysis

  • Successfully reclaimed $86,450, a prior pain point for bulls.
  • Clean rally into the $90,200-$91,140 zone.
  • New base forming at $90,200—bulls want to hold this level.
  • Upside opens to $100,305, then $104,630–$105,300 (major daily cluster).
  • RSI and momentum indicators shifting from oversold to neutral, supporting more upside if resistance breaks.
https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-248.png

Cryptonary's take

BTC has reclaimed the key levels and pushed straight into the target zone, turning market sentiment constructive. As long as $90,200 holds, range opens up for bulls to push toward $100,305 and the $104,630 cluster. Losing $90,200 would slow momentum but not fully break structure. The next days hinge on maintaining this newfound strength.
  • Next Support: $90,200
  • Next Resistance: $100,305
  • Direction: Neutral-Bullish
  • Upside Target: $104,630
  • Downside Target: $86,450


What's next?

ETH sits at $3,055 resistance, watch for breakout to $3,500. SOL above $140.43 could set up a move to $155.82. HYPE eyes $38.53 and AURA holds the $0.040 base. Don't miss the confirmations in the next 48 hours!


ETH:

  • Recovered from trendline deviation, now pressing on $3,055 resistance.
  • Flipped $2,890 to support—a solid reclaim.
  • Next resistance cluster: $3,436 and $3,500 (200 EMA region), crucial for bullish medium-term bias.
  • Momentum indicators show oversold to neutral recovery; 200 EMA flattening, supporting consolidation.
ETH's Open Interest (by USD value): https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-249.png

Technical analysis

  • Price just above $3,055; a close and base above here unleashes fresh upside.
  • Support at $2,890 is now well tested.
  • Next upside: $3,436, with $3,500 the higher supply/EMA cluster.
  • If $2,890 fails, caution returns—with $2,794 as next downside target.
https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-249.png

Cryptonary's take

ETH flipped its trendline breakdown into a solid deviation and now challenges resistance. Momentum has improved and the trend is constructive; all eyes on $3,055 as the next decision point. Above $3,055, major supply at $3,436–$3,500 is the true bull test.
  • Next Support: $2,890
  • Next Resistance: $3,055
  • Direction: Neutral/Bullish
  • Upside Target: $3,436
  • Downside Target: $2,794


SOL:

  • Recovered $133.64 and $140.43—constructive reversal signaling strength returning.
  • Building a weekly base above $140.43 is critical for further upside bias.
  • Next resistance: $155.82, then $174.31, with $177.80 (200 EMA) as the upside cluster.
  • Momentum improving as long as the $140.43 region holds.
SOL's Open Interest (by USD value): https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-250.png

Technical analysis

  • Bias improves with support at $140.43.
  • Bullish continuation likely if $155.82 clears, targeting upper cluster ($174–$178).
  • A close above $144.45 would add conviction for bulls.
https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-250.png

Cryptonary's take

SOL is stabilising above newly reclaimed supports, shifting tone towards a healthier structure. If it can solidify a higher base, bulls gain more control and $155.82–$174.31 opens up for attack.
  • Next Support: $140.43
  • Next Resistance: $155.82
  • Direction: Neutral
  • Upside Target: $174.31
  • Downside Target: $133.64


HYPE:

  • Structure improved after reclaiming $35.37; now approaching $38.53 (200 EMA), the next critical resistance.
  • A close above $38.53 flips the bias to neutral-bullish, targeting $42.68 on strength.
  • Downside remains at $33.00 if supports are lost.
  • Momentum on the mend, RSI strengthening along with price action.
HYPE's Open Interest (by USD value): https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-251.png

Technical analysis

  • Key support at $35.37, resistance at $38.53.
  • Above $38.53, $42.68 is the next upside target.
  • Momentum supports higher prices if $38.53 breaks.
https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-251.png

Cryptonary's take

HYPE signals foundational improvement; reclaiming the 200 EMA at $38.53 would unlock major upside. Focus for now is on holding $35.37 and preparing for a momentum burst.
  • Next Support: $35.37
  • Next Resistance: $38.53
  • Direction: Neutral
  • Upside Target: $42.68
  • Downside Target: $33.00


AURA:

  • Maintains solid base at $0.040, keeping bullish structure alive.
  • Pushed up then retraced to support zone, confirming accumulation dynamics.
  • 200 EMA flattening, RSI resetting positively, medium-term signals bullish underlying posture.
AURA's Price Action https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-252.png
  • Direction: Neutral/Bullish
  • Action Plan: DCA and Raid
Cryptonary’s Take

AURA is showing signs of strength at these levels. The $0.035-$0.040 region has now confirmed itself as a firm base, and price continues to respect this zone even after multiple tests. This behaviour aligns well with accumulation dynamics, especially given how heavily the RSI has reset over recent weeks. For long term positioning, this remains one of the strongest support areas on the chart.

Our stance stays neutral to bullish, with the understanding that this entire region is a favourable accumulation zone and the structure continues to develop in the right direction.

SMT Divergence (BTC confirmation update)

On the 4H chart, BTC has already met the first SMT requirement by breaking above the orderblock, and price is now approaching the second and more important confirmation level. BTC is trading just below $93,068, with current price around $92,500, and a decisive 4H close above $93,068 would complete the true market structure shift needed to validate the weekly SMT divergence.

With price now pressing directly into this level, BTC is nearing a potential full confirmation of the SMT setup discussed earlier, and a break above this line would establish the bullish character shift required for continuation. This would be the first bullish market structure shift since prices topped out in October. 

https://cryptonary.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/unnamed-253.png


Closing thoughts:

The majors have stepped into a far healthier position than last week, with BTC reclaiming its FVG, ETH turning its breakdown into a deviation, and SOL and HYPE flipping important levels back into support. Momentum across the board has reset from deeply oversold conditions, giving the market room to build a stronger base.

The next 24-48 hours will be defined by one thing, can the majors hold their reclaims? If BTC maintains above $90,200, ETH clears $3,055, and SOL stays firm above $140, the market opens the door for continuation into higher targets. Failures at these levels don’t break the structure, but they slow momentum and delay the move.

Overall, the tone has shifted from defensive to cautiously constructive. We’re not in full on breakout territory yet, but for the first time in weeks, the majors are aligned and continuation is finally back on the table.


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