Log in

PRO
Market Direction

BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE & SPX – reversal or another leg down?

Published: Jan 31, 2025
1
Share:

Crypto markets remain choppy as Bitcoin hovers near key resistance, Ethereum eyes a breakout, and Solana tests support. Dogecoin and SPX also present crucial setups—let’s break down what’s next for these major assets.

Post Feature Image

Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.


BTC:

  • We're seeing a lower BTC's Open Interest trend, which suggests there's less demand amongst traders to leverage it. This is positive but also expected when the market is in more choppy conditions.
  • Funding Rates range from 0.00% to 0.01%, indicating there's an even balance between Longs and Shorts.
BTC's open interest (by number of coins):

1. A chart displaying Bitcoin futures open interest with BTC price overlay, showing a steady increase in open interest over time.

Technical analysis

  • From a chart perspective, we can keep this quite simple.
  • BTC is currently range-bound between the major horizontal resistance at $106,900 (call it $107k) and the horizontal support of $98,900 (call it $99k).
  • Beyond $107k, the all-time high of $109k will need to be broken. If this happens, then we'd expect the price to push on to $120k in the weeks that follow. However, we expect more range-bound price action for a sustained period first.
  • In terms of further horizontal supports, we have $95,700 and then $91,500. We don't expect the price to fall back below $91,500. However, if it did, $87,100 is likely the stopping point and an area we'd bid aggressively.
  • The RSI has broken out of the downtrend line, but resistance is now found at the underside of the moving average.
2. A BTCUSD daily candlestick chart with key resistance, support levels, trend lines, and RSI indicator, highlighting potential downward movement.
  • Next Support: $98,900
  • Next Resistance: $106,900
  • Direction: Bearish/Neutral
  • Upside Target: $106,900
  • Downside Target: $95,700
Get the latest Bitcoin price prediction. Dive into our detailed analysis to stay one step ahead!

Cryptonary's take

Bitcoin currently ranges between $95,700 and $106,900. Whilst we're in this post-Trump inauguration period where too much good news was priced in (the market had overpriced against a realistic reality), it's possible now that we do see a pullback for BTC in the coming 1-2 weeks. It's possible BTC pulls back to $95,700 to say $98,900.

We have highlighted this with a yellow arrow on the chart. We'll add two other things to this. Firstly, if BTC does pull back 5-10%, it doesn't necessarily mean Alts/memes will have another major pullback. Looking across the board, we feel most of the Alts/Memes have done the substantial portions of their pullbacks, but we also think they'll be range-bound for a while.

Secondly, in a range-bound market, it doesn't mean there won't be good pockets of outperformance. For example, $HYPE over the last 3-5 days has heavily outperformed.


ETH:

  • ETH's Open Interest continues to grind higher; there is no change here.
  • ETH's Funding Rate, like BTC's, fluctuates between 0.00% and 0.01%, indicating that there's an even balance between Longs and Shorts.
ETH's funding rate zoomed in:

3. A funding rate chart for Ethereum, showing ETH price trends along with open interest-weighted funding rate variations on a 5-minute timeframe.

Technical analysis

  • ETH is interesting here. The price bounced off the main horizontal support of $3,050.
  • Price is now attempting a break above the horizontal level of $3,280 whilst it's also looking to break out of the main downtrend line.
  • The key for a major breakout here will be for the price to break the main horizontal resistance at $3,480.
  • If the price can break out at $3,480 (we're sceptical in the short-term), then $3,700 is the target.
  • The RSI is also attempting a breakout above the downtrend line and the moving average. We really need to see this move stick to potentially see a more substantial upside.
4. ETHUSD daily candlestick chart featuring trend lines, resistance and support levels, and RSI analysis, indicating a potential move downward.
  • Next Support: $3,280
  • Next Resistance: $3,480
  • Direction: Neutral
  • Upside Target: $3,700
  • Downside Target: $3,050

Cryptonary's take

ETH is at a really key level here as it is trying to break out. A breakout of the downtrend line and $3,480 horizontal resistance is a big ask, so we are sceptical. But this is what's needed to get that breakout.

If the price were to break out, it would be a huge sign-off strength, and this may actually lead to other plays/sectors also having more substantial rebounds. Unfortunately, we're not expecting a substantial breakout in the short term, and we're still thinking that ETH can revisit $3,050 before it touches the Yellow Box. But we're expecting $3,050 as a minimum retest again.


SOL:

  • SOL's Open Interest has downtrended now for a few weeks, indicating that less leverage is being piled on.
  • SOL's Funding Rate is fluctuating between slightly positive and slightly negative, indicating indecision amongst traders.
  • SOL's leverage setup is more evenly balanced here, with no signs of any froth/or excitement.
SOL's funding rate:

5. Solana funding rate chart depicting SOL price movements, open interest-weighted funding rate, and fluctuations in funding over time.

Technical analysis

  • SOL bounced off the main horizontal support of $220, and the price has now bounced up to the local horizontal level of $240.
  • Price is in a larger range here between $220 (horizontal support) and the major horizontal resistance at $263.
  • The RSI is in the middle territory, but it's below its moving average.
6. A SOLUSDT daily candlestick chart with trend lines, resistance and support levels, RSI indicator, and a possible correction zone.
  • Next Support: $220
  • Next Resistance: $263
  • Direction: Neutral
  • Upside Target: $263
  • Downside Target: $220
Stay updated on Solana's price prediction. Explore our full analysis for the latest market insights.

Cryptonary's take

There's no need to go heavy in detail here. SOL is just a range bound between $220 and $263, and we're expecting that to continue in the short term. Of course, a breakdown of the key levels ($220 and $263) will be the key thing to watch. Be patient with this and just let time give you/us more candles and, therefore, more information. There's no point getting stuck into (trading) something that's in the middle of a larger range. If we had to call it, we'd say there's more chance of a retest of $220 first than a retest of $260.


DOGE:

  • DOGE has once again held the major horizontal support at $0.30, and the price has bounced from there.
  • Price is attempting a breakout of its main downtrend line, as well as its local downtrend line.
  • The key level for the price to reclaim will be the horizontal resistance of $0.35. Beyond that, $0.39 is the main horizontal resistance.
  • The RSI is in the middle territory, but it's also now butting up into its moving average, which may become resistance.
7. DOGEUSDT daily candlestick chart with resistance and support levels, downward trend line, and RSI indicator suggesting potential movement.
  • Next Support: $0.30
  • Next Resistance: $0.35
  • Direction: Neutral/Bullish
  • Upside Target: $0.40
  • Downside Target: sub $0.30
Curious about DOGE's next move? Our DOGE price prediction offers a deep dive into market trends!

Cryptonary's take

Again, whilst we're sceptical of a major breakout, we're still watching intently. A breakout for DOGE above $0.35 would likely be mega and give other Alts/memes the fuel to run higher also. DOGE is also now the only major meme that's held its structure (it hasn't broken below key support of $0.30), whereas everything else (major memes-wise) has.

If DOGE can recover and break higher, that would be great for other memes. We're sceptical of a major breakout, and we think $0.35 might be a sticking zone for the price, but let's see how this unfolds over the weekend.


SPX:

  • SPX has performed well in that many other coins have had sizeable pullbacks, where SPX has held between $1.00 and $1.60.
  • Price has bounced from the lows and the horizontal support of $1.00, and it's now breaching the downtrend line.
  • It's possible we see SPX pull back, find some support at $1.20, and then have a more substantial breakout from there.
  • The main horizontal resistance will be at $1.55.
  • In terms of support, $1.00 to $1.20 is a big zone of support for SPX.
  • One thing we do note is the downtrending volumes. This is somewhat a cause for concern, but it may also mean the price can shove higher if the volumes really kick up and their bids.
8. A candlestick chart of SPXWETH trading pair on Uniswap, showing trend lines, resistance, support levels, and trading volume
  • Next Support: $1.20 (then $1.00)
  • Next Resistance: $1.60
  • Direction: Neutral
  • Upside Target: $1.60
  • Downside Target: $1.00

Cryptonary's take

SPX has been surprisingly strong, particularly when you look at other Memes and other major memes. For price now, we'd like to see a retest of $1.20 and then a breakout higher from there. SPX is in middle territory here, and we're also seeing the downtrending volumes, so it's tricky to call price action here. In the short term, on SPX, we remain neutral rather than bullish or bearish.


100% Success Money Back Guarantee

If our approach doesn’t outperform the overall crypto market during your subscription, we’ll give you a full refund of your membership. No questions asked. For quarterly and monthly subscribers this is applicable once your subscription runs for 6 consecutive months.

Terms & Conditions apply

Star

Trusted by 300,000+ traders

Take your next step towards crypto success

Save 50%

$799/year

Get everything you need to actively manage your portfolio and stay ahead. Ideal for investors seeking regular guidance and access to tools that help make informed decisions.

VisaCardImageMsCardImageCoinbaseCardImageSolanaCardImage

For your security, all orders are processed on a secured server.

What’s included in Pro:

  • Success Guarantee, if we don’t outperform the market, you get 100% back, no questions asked

  • 24/7 access to experts with 50+ years’ experience

  • All of our top token picks for 2025

  • Our latest memecoins pick with 50X potential

  • On hand technical analysis on any token of your choice

  • Weekly livestreams & ask us anything with the team

  • Daily insights on Macro, Mechanics, and On-chain

  • Curated list of top upcoming airdrops (free money)

Our track record speaks for itself

With over 2.4M tokens and widespread misinformation in crypto, we cut
through the noise and consistently find winning assets.

/images/advertorial/corpcomm3.webp
/images/advertorial/corpcomm4.webp
/images/advertorial/corpcomm5.webp

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes. We've consistently identified winners across multiple cycles. Bitcoin under $1,000, Ethereum under $70, Solana under $10, WIF from $0.003 to $5, PopCat from $0.004 to $2, SPX blasting past $1.70, and our latest pick has already 200X'd since June 2025. Everything is timestamped and public record.

No. When we founded Cryptonary in 2017 the market was new to everyone. We intentionally created content that was easy to understand and actionable. That foundational principle is the crux of Cryptonary. Taking complex ideas and opportunities and presenting them in a way a 10 year old could understand.

Signal vs noise. We filter out 99.9% of garbage projects, provide data backed analysis, and have a proven track record of finding winners. Not to mention since Cryptonary's inception in 2017 we have never taken investment, sponsorship or partnership. Compare this to pretty much everyone else, no track record, and a long list of partnerships that cloud judgements.

We share highly sensitive, time-critical research. Once it's out, it can't be "returned." That's why membership is annual only. Crypto success takes time and commitment. If someone is not willing to invest 12 months into their future, there is no place for them at Cryptonary.

Yes. You will have 24/7 to the team that bought you BTC at $1,000, ETH at $70, and SOL at $10. Through our community chats, live Q&As, and member only channels, you can ask questions and interact directly with the team. Our team has over 50 years of combined experience which you can tap into every single day.

Daily. We provide real-time updates, weekly reports, emergency alerts, and live Q&As when the markets move fast. In crypto, the market moves fast, in Cryptonary, we move faster.

If our approach to the market doesn’t beat the overall crypto market during your subscription, we’ll give you a full refund of your membership fee. No questions asked. For quarterly and monthly subscribers this is applicable once your subscription runs for 6 consecutive months.

Recommended from Cryptonary
BTC, ETH, and More: Double Bottoms and a Critical Bounce
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH, and More: Double Bottoms ...Markets rebound off key lows, BTC and major alts flash double bottom signals. Will support hold for ...
6 min read
Oct 20, 2025
BTC, ETH, and More: Bearish Pressure as Key Support Levels Break
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH, and More: Bearish Pressur...Markets face critical retests with BTC and major alts breaking supports; all eyes on bounce zones an...
7 min read
Oct 17, 2025
BTC, ETH and More: Key Supports Reclaimed, Next Targets in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Key Supports Rec...Markets are showing signs of recovery after last week’s turbulence. Bitcoin and Ethereum are stabili...
4 min read
Oct 15, 2025