Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.
ETH:
- ETH's Open Interest has continued its grind higher, likely due to participants taking advantage of the 'carry' trade.
- ETH's Funding Rate is slightly positive, but it might be being compressed due to the 'carry' trade, so the fact it remains positive suggests there's likely more of a slight bias here amongst traders to be Long, at this moment in time.
Technical analysis:
- Key note; the chart below is ETH on the 3D timeframe, so much more zoomed out. And we'll look at it from that perspective to get a better gauge as to how to play it, and to help us identify key levels.
- ETH is essentially just above its major support at $1,745, with $1,530 the next key level.
- We don't expect $1,530 will be lost/broken to the downside.
- On the upside, ETH's horizontal resistance is at $2,160, and we think this can be retested at a major relief rally.
- ETH's RSI is very oversold, the most oversold it's been since mid 2022, yes, that's pre-FTX collapse.
- Next Support: $1,745
- Next Resistance: $2,160
- Direction: Neutral
- Upside Target: $1,960
- Downside Target: $1,545
Cryptonary's take:
In the short term, we expect ETH will be range-bound between $1,745 and $1,960. We expect a breakdown into the $ 1,500 is possible, but that might be a good long-term buying area.Over the coming weeks, and maybe months, we expect the price to be range-bound and then to put in a more meaningful bounce on the other side of Trump/administration uncertainty. That might take 1-3 months. But we're expecting a sideways grind before a move higher.
So, something similar to summer 2022. We'd look to bid into the $1,500's to then sell ETH at $2,160. That's the play we'd be looking at for ETH over the coming weeks/months. But, we do see $1,500's as a good long-term buying opportunity to then sell ETH later in the year or in early to mid 2026.
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