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Market Direction

Is ETH at the risk of more downside?

Updated: Jul 25, 2024
Published: Dec 18, 2023
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Like BTC, ETH is in a crucial area here. 

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The mechanics have reset despite never really getting out of hand in the past few weeks.

However, Open Interest is lower, while Funding is close to 0.01% but is beginning to move higher and is now slightly north of 0.015%. 

Technical analysis

  • The key takeaway from instantly looking at the chart is that the main uptrend line has been lost.
  • Price is currently sitting on top of a local support of $2,130, which is a horizontal support we have outlined. It was previously a key horizontal resistance.
  • There are several local horizontal supports beneath $2,130, at $2,060 and then a major level at $1,933.
  • The RSI has reset on all major timeframes now. This is healthy for ETH in the mid and long term.
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Cryptonary's take

This is a really key level for ETH here, having broken beneath the uptrend line. 

Beneath the uptrend line, it's difficult for bullish momentum to be maintained. 

We initially want to see a bounce off of the horizontal area of $2,133 and then a retest of the underside of the uptrend line.

If ETH finds resistance at the underside of the uptrend line, then we will likely see further downside for ETH, where $2,130 will need to hold again. 

ETH, we think, is less liable to a more significant downside. We believe BTC can pull back to $38k, and then ETH will likely pull back with it. 

If ETH does fall sub $2,130, we would be lightly DCA'ing into ETH again, with our DCA orders becoming increasingly aggressive (in terms of our USD size) between $1,933 and $2,060.



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