The mechanics have reset despite never really getting out of hand in the past few weeks.
However, Open Interest is lower, while Funding is close to 0.01% but is beginning to move higher and is now slightly north of 0.015%.
Technical analysis
- The key takeaway from instantly looking at the chart is that the main uptrend line has been lost.
- Price is currently sitting on top of a local support of $2,130, which is a horizontal support we have outlined. It was previously a key horizontal resistance.
- There are several local horizontal supports beneath $2,130, at $2,060 and then a major level at $1,933.
- The RSI has reset on all major timeframes now. This is healthy for ETH in the mid and long term.
Cryptonary's take
This is a really key level for ETH here, having broken beneath the uptrend line.Beneath the uptrend line, it's difficult for bullish momentum to be maintained.
We initially want to see a bounce off of the horizontal area of $2,133 and then a retest of the underside of the uptrend line.
If ETH finds resistance at the underside of the uptrend line, then we will likely see further downside for ETH, where $2,130 will need to hold again.
ETH, we think, is less liable to a more significant downside. We believe BTC can pull back to $38k, and then ETH will likely pull back with it.
If ETH does fall sub $2,130, we would be lightly DCA'ing into ETH again, with our DCA orders becoming increasingly aggressive (in terms of our USD size) between $1,933 and $2,060.
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