Log in

Home
Research
Analysis
Community
  1. Cryptonary
  2. Market Analysis
  3. ETH breaks out, but Longs are at risk
Market Direction

ETH breaks out, but Longs are at risk

Updated: Jul 25, 2024
Published: Dec 8, 2023
0
Share:

As we predicted yesterday, ETH broke out from the pennant, reaching the $2,340 horizontal resistance.

Post Feature Image

OI has increased to new highs whilst Funding is at 0.024% - Longs are overweight and may be vulnerable to a flushing out.

TLDR

  • ETH broke out from a pennant pattern, reaching the $2,340 horizontal resistance as predicted.
  • Open Interest (OI) has surged to new highs, and Funding is at 0.024%, suggesting that long positions are overweight and may be susceptible to a flush out.
  • ETH reclaimed its main uptrend and battles to stay above $2,340, which is now a potential support. RSI is overbought, and a breakdown could find support at $2,120.
  • ETH's Open Interest hits new local highs at $8.47b, and the OI-Weighted Funding Rate is at 0.023%, indicating a market bias towards Long positions.
Disclaimer: Not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results. “One Glance” by Cryptonary sometimes uses the RR trading tool to help you quickly understand our analysis. They are not signals, and they are not financial advice.
ETH 12hr 

aligncenter size-full wp-image-290723

Technical analysis

  • ETH formed a pennant pattern yesterday and broke to the upside, testing the $2,340 horizontal resistance as expected. 
  • ETH has also reclaimed its main uptrend, which is bullish for price again. 
  • Price is now battling to stay above the horizontal resistance of $2,340 (now potentially flipped into new support) and the uptrend line. 
  • If ETH sees a more meaningful breakdown, we expect the $2,120 area to hold as new support.
  • The RSI is now in overbought territory on all major timeframes. 
  • We would look to DCA into ETH if there is a retest of $2,120. 

Market mechanics

  • ETH’s Open Interest has popped back to new local highs of $8.47b.
  • The OI-Weighted Funding Rate has also increased to 0.023%, indicating a bias in the market to be Long, with Longs willing to pay a relatively sizeable premium to Shorts to be Long. 

Cryptonary’s take

We expected ETH to move up into a new range of $2,340 to $2,640, which we believe we’re now seeing. However, in the short term, ETH will need to hold above $2,340 to establish this area as new support to continue higher. However, Funding is quite positive and indicates that Longs are somewhat vulnerable to a flush.

We continue to hold our ETH positions, and we’re looking to DCA further into ETH if there is a move down to $2,120. 



Get started for free

Create your free account or log in to read the full article.

​

Germany

By signing up, you agree to our Terms & Conditions
Recommended from Cryptonary
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Intensify
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks I...Across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Hyperliquid, price has rotated into key levels — yet every rebound is ...
10 min read
Feb 20, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Grow Across Majors
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks G...Relief rallies are becoming weaker. Each push into resistance is seeing less expansion, shorter foll...
12 min read
Feb 17, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in...Downside targets across majors have been fulfilled, and price is attempting to hold key support zone...
10 min read
Feb 13, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Neutral Stance as Upside Liquidity in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Neutral Stance a...Price action last week challenged our downside thesis in an important way. While supports were brief...
10 min read
Mar 3, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Fizzles, Downside Bias Persists
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Fiz...Relief rallies often feel convincing in the moment, but structure determines direction. Despite stro...
12 min read
Feb 27, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Bullish Divergence Setups Develop
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Bullish Divergen...Recent price action confirms a transition from consolidation into continuation. Breakdowns across Bi...
11 min read
Feb 24, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Intensify
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks I...Across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Hyperliquid, price has rotated into key levels — yet every rebound is ...
10 min read
Feb 20, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Grow Across Majors
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks G...Relief rallies are becoming weaker. Each push into resistance is seeing less expansion, shorter foll...
12 min read
Feb 17, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in...Downside targets across majors have been fulfilled, and price is attempting to hold key support zone...
10 min read
Feb 13, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Neutral Stance as Upside Liquidity in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Neutral Stance a...Price action last week challenged our downside thesis in an important way. While supports were brief...
10 min read
Mar 3, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Fizzles, Downside Bias Persists
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Fiz...Relief rallies often feel convincing in the moment, but structure determines direction. Despite stro...
12 min read
Feb 27, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Bullish Divergence Setups Develop
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Bullish Divergen...Recent price action confirms a transition from consolidation into continuation. Breakdowns across Bi...
11 min read
Feb 24, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Intensify
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks I...Across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Hyperliquid, price has rotated into key levels — yet every rebound is ...
10 min read
Feb 20, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Grow Across Majors
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks G...Relief rallies are becoming weaker. Each push into resistance is seeing less expansion, shorter foll...
12 min read
Feb 17, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in...Downside targets across majors have been fulfilled, and price is attempting to hold key support zone...
10 min read
Feb 13, 2026
Research
Top PicksDeep DivesPassive IncomeAirdrop ReportsMemecoins
Analysis
Market UpdatesMarket DirectionMarket PulseLivestreams
Tools
Market DirectionAssets & PicksAirdropsPortfolio Tracker
Cryptonary
Affiliate programEducationPrivacy PolicyTerms & ConditionsContact UsWrite for usTeam
Stay connected
Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptonary is not a licensed financial advisor. All content is shared without any guarantee of accuracy or completeness. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed professional before making financial choices. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

×
popupimage
Our Latest Utility Token Research ReportPreviously locked for Pro members, now available to read in full.
  • tickThe utility token we're tracking closely
  • tickWhy we believe it's still early in the cycle
  • tickWhat we're watching to confirm a structural shift
​
Germany

No spam. No hype. Just the research.