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Market Direction

Ethereum rally runs out of steam at $2,060 - What next?

Updated: Aug 31, 2024
Published: Nov 23, 2023
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ETH had a great bounce yesterday but is now finding resistance at the underside of the main uptrend line and the late $2,000s.

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ETH also broke above the local downtrend. A break above $2,120 would send ETH to $2,340. Further upside ahead?

TLDR

  • Ethereum bounces off key $1,933 support, now facing resistance at $2,060
  • Bullish indicators with RSI not overbought on most timeframes
  • Open interest spiked 10% on a recent move up to $2,060
  • Rangebound, like Bitcoin, needs to clear $2,060 and $2,120 for an upside breakout
ETH 12hr
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Technical analysis

ETH has broken above its local downtrend line but is now running into a horizontal resistance. 
  • It's a really nice move up, recovering well from the major support at $1,933.
  • ETH is now butting into the local resistance of $2,060. This is a key level for ETH to clear to target $2,120 and then get the more major breakout.
  • ETH is also currently running into resistance from the underside of the uptrend line.
  • However, ETH has broken out of the local downtrend line, which should help it target $2,120.
  • The RSI on all timeframes is in bullish territory and not overbought, except for the 3D timeframe, which is also putting in a bearish divergence. 
The technicals suggest ETH may be good to go higher from here if it can clear $2,060 and then $2,120. These are key levels; if cleared, ETH can see $2,340 relatively quickly. 

Market mechanics

Regarding the mechanics, ETH still has a healthy setup, but there are some parts to watch. 
  • ETH’s Open Interest spiked up yesterday on the move from $1,960 to $2,060, with Open Interest increasing by 10%.
  • The OI-Weighted Funding Rate has been steadily increasing and is now at 0.0134%, indicating there is a bias amongst traders to be Long.  
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From a mechanics perspective, ETH still looks good here. If there is a further increase in the level of Open Interest, then this may be a sign for us to become more cautious, particularly if the Long/Short Ratio 

Cryptonary’s take

ETH has shown significant strength every time it's pulled back to a key support level, having bounced from the $1,933 support several times. 

If ETH can break $2,060 and then $2,120, there’s clear room up to $2,340. Even though ETH looks very bullish, while Bitcoin remains beneath the $38,000 resistance, the market may struggle to get any major breakouts. 

We will not look to take any short-term trades until there is a break of the range, and we will continue to DCA below $1,950, with our DCA buys becoming more aggressive sub $1,860.

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