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Technical Analysis

Fresh swing trade strategy on Solana

Published: Sep 5, 2024
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Solana (SOL) presents a unique structure when compared to the broader crypto market. Unlike Bitcoin, Total 2, Total 3, or the overall market cap, which have all formed bull flags, Solana has been range-bound since its breakout in March. 

Post Feature Image

On the daily timeframe, SOL has established equal highs and lows, indicating a large range, while Bitcoin has formed lower lows and lower highs, creating a classic bull flag pattern. 

Given the lack of a major positive catalyst, we must respect Bitcoin's structure and apply similar rules to Solana, projecting potential downside. This approach will allow for a more calculated swing trade on SOL, considering the risk-to-reward (RR) ratio.

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Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.


The playbook 

Here's to take the trade.

Setup 1: Scale-in strategy

Objective: To scale into a SOL position by splitting the risk across key levels: $130, $120, and $110. 

Hypothesis 

The idea here is to manage risk by entering at multiple levels as the price draws down, leveraging the potential for a bullish rebound. This strategy acknowledges the possibility of a significant drawdown, especially considering the wick that formed at $110 on August 5.

The play

  • Initial entry: Start with a smaller position at $130.
  • Scale-in: Add to the position at $120 and then again at $110.
  • Risk consideration: Given the bullish conviction, if the price moves closer to $110, consider increasing the margin or utilising more leverage to gain more exposure.
  • Stop loss: A 50% drawdown would place the liquidation level around $66-$65, which should be acceptable if you're taking a 2x leveraged position. However, expect substantial drawdown risk, especially at $110. 
Leverage & margin 

Consider using 2x leverage initially. As the price drops and you...

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