JUP, SHIB, and POPCAT: Resistance or rejection?

Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.

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Jupiter ($JUP):

Jupiter is attempting to reclaim key levels after bouncing off the local lows. Price is currently trading around $0.425, pushing into the $0.4281 resistance, a critical inflexion zone that previously acted as a range bottom back in February 2024. The recent move above $0.409 marked a short-term structure shift, but Jupiter now faces overhead resistance as it tries to reclaim the previously broken demand zone. The reaction here will dictate whether we get a continuation higher or a rejection back toward the base.

Key levels

• Immediate resistance: $0.4281 (local key level)
• Wider reclaim zone: $0.46-$0.63 (old daily demand zone)
• Short-term support: $0.409 (previous breakout level)
• Retest support: $0.38-$0.365 (recent base)
• Breakdown level: $0.35
• Deeper support: $0.30 (April lower low)

Scenarios to watch

• Bullish continuation: If Jupiter breaks and holds above $0.4281, it opens up space toward $0.46, with potential for reaccumulation inside the old demand zone ($0.46-$0.63). This would mark a significant reclaim if backed by broader market strength.
• Rejection and retest: A rejection from $0.4281 could lead to a pullback toward $0.409 or even $0.38-$0.365. These levels can offer potential higher low setups if buyers step in again.
• Breakdown of key support: Failure to hold $0.38 or $0.365 would likely push Jupiter back to $0.35 or even $0.30, where the price last bottomed. A breakdown below $0.30 could expose the chart to thin liquidity and accelerated downside.

Cryptonary's take

Jupiter is testing its first real resistance after a bounce from the lows. The structure is showing early signs of strength, but the $0.4281 level is crucial. If this is flipped into support, the next wave toward the previous demand zone is in play. For now, we're watching closely for how the price reacts at this level, a rejection wouldn't be surprising if the wider market starts rejecting from here.

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Shiba Inu ($SHIB):

After breaking out of its multi-month downtrend in early March, Shiba Inu retraced sharply from its local high of $0.0000156 back to test previous lows. The pullback swept below the early March low at $0.0000108, forming a lower low at $0.0000102 before reversing.

This sweep acted as a liquidity grab, and SHIB has since reclaimed both $0.0000108 and $0.0000116, two key former supports. It's now grinding higher toward $0.0000138, the next major supply area. The current structure suggests bullish momentum, but short-term resistance is approaching.

Key levels

• Immediate resistance: $0.0000138 (short-term supply zone)
• Medium-term resistance: $0.0000156 (March breakout top)
• Current price: $0.0000131
• Short-term support: $0.0000116
• Deeper support: $0.0000108
• Liquidity sweep low: $0.0000102 (March 20 low)

Scenarios to watch

• Bullish continuation: A clean break and daily close above $0.0000138 opens the door for a retest of the $0.0000156 level. Momentum buyers may step in above this zone, especially if BTC and other majors remain stable.
• Rejection from resistance: If SHIB stalls at $0.0000138, the price could pull back to $0.0000116 for a higher low setup. A retest and hold at this level may offer continuation opportunities.
• Breakdown risk: Losing $0.0000116 would weaken the current recovery. A move back toward $0.0000108 or even $0.0000102 could follow, with buyers watching closely to defend those levels again.

Cryptonary's take

Shiba Inu is showing respectable strength after its liquidity sweep, reclaiming key levels and pushing toward resistance. The $0.0000138 zone is now crucial; a clean flip would re-open bullish momentum into $0.0000156. Until then, we're watching how SHIB handles this rejection zone. A higher low at $0.0000116 would be a healthy consolidation, keeping the short-term bullish structure intact.

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Popcat ($POPCAT):

Popcat has broken out of its consolidation base, which it was trading in for the past few months. After a failed breakout of a multi-month attempt in February, which resulted in a bearish flag and deeper lows, Popcat spent nearly two months forming this base. In early April, the price local bottomed out at $0.1189, before igniting a strong rally, reclaiming key levels and breaking past short-term resistances with impressive momentum. Most notably, price has now flipped the $0.297 level, entering a new short-term range. Whether Popcat can hold this reclaimed level will determine its next leg.

Key Levels

• Immediate support: $0.297 (former resistance, now support)
• Mid-term support: $0.215 (previous range low)
• Current price: $0.321
• Immediate resistance: $0.397
• Major resistance above: $0.55 (next macro level after $0.397)
• Range: $0.297 - $0.397 (active 12h range)

Scenarios to watch

• Bullish continuation: If Popcat holds $0.297 as support and the wider market remains neutral or bullish, the price could grind toward $0.397, with breakout potential if momentum stays strong.
• Failed retest: If the market turns and Popcat fails to hold $0.297, the price may fall back into the prior consolidation range of $0.215 - $0.297, targeting a potential retest of $0.215.
• Consolidation scenario: Popcat may trade sideways between $0.297 and $0.397 if volatility dries up. This would be a healthy consolidation post-breakout and could set up the next impulsive move depending on BTC's behaviour.

Cryptonary's take

After months of slow bleed and compression, Popcat has finally shown some life. The breakout above $0.215- $0.297 is significant, but the key test now is whether it can hold. If it does, $0.397 is in play quickly. The wider market looks a bit stretched, so managing risk here is key.

A breakdown below $0.297 doesn't invalidate the recovery but signals a return to the old range. For now, Popcat is one to watch.