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Market Direction

Trading opportunities: FARTCOIN, PEPE, TRUMP, and XRP approaching key sell zones?

Updated: May 2, 2025
Published: May 1, 2025
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Over the past week, we've seen exaggerated relief rallies across both meme coins and major altcoins, with assets like Fartcoin, PEPE, Trump, and XRP all pushing into key resistance zones.

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While short-term momentum remains intact, the broader structure suggests these moves are running into exhaustion. Liquidity remains thin, volatility is high, and most of these assets are trading into well-defined historical resistance levels.

The market environment - shaped by weakening macro sentiment and fading speculative appetite - continues to favour tactical short setups over bullish continuation. Each of these assets presents a clear opportunity to fade strength within structured frameworks, respecting the broader downtrend and capitalising on late-stage euphoria.

This update consolidates our outlook across all four names, with precision levels, momentum analysis, and execution strategy for each.

Fartcoin:

Technical analysis & market mechanics

  • Price is currently trading around $1.30, testing local resistance with strong upside momentum.
  • $1.14 is now confirmed local support, previously acting as a resistance in recent consolidations.
  • $1.429 is a key midpoint within the resistance range - aligns with price memory and prior sell-offs.
  • $1.55 marks the upper resistance bound and acts as a magnet level if momentum continues.
  • Price structure remains within a bullish channel, but the asset is overextended, increasing the probability of short-term exhaustion.
  • RSI has room to rise - not yet overbought, which suggests upside targets may be reached before any reversal begins.
  • Downside levels to watch: $1.00 - psychological round number and first support on pullback.
  • $0.80 - deeper support, still within bullish structure.
  • A steep support trendline is in play - a break of this line could shift the structure and initiate a broader move down.
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  • Next Support: $1.140
  • Next Resistance: $1.300
  • Direction: Bullish
  • Upside Target: $1.550Downside Target: $1.000

Cryptonary's take

Fartcoin remains in an aggressive bullish trend, but the current price action is showing signs of overextension. Our strategy is to scale into a short position within the resistance zone: $1.30, $1.429, and $1.55, with a stop at $1.62 to allow space for a final momentum push. We expect these levels to be tagged before any reversal due to continued upside pressure.

If price begins to break the steep trendline after filling, we'll be positioned early for a deeper retrace. Downside targets remain $1.00 and $0.80, both offering solid risk-reward exits while keeping the larger trend intact. This is a tactical exhaustion short - let price extend, then fade the move with clear levels and size discipline.

What's next?

You've seen the Fartcoin setup. The next three charts - PEPE, Trump, and XRP - reveal exact trigger zones and fade levels into exhausted rallies. One of them has a 40% downside risk if the channel breaks. Don't miss this timing window.

PEPE:

Technical analysis & market mechanics

  • RSI is currently at 59, trending upward with headroom before reaching overbought - the previous RSI top was on April 23rd, marking a recent local high.
  • Local Resistance at 0.00000920 - capping current price action and forming the top of a tight consolidation range.
  • Previous key resistance at 0.00001000 - 0.00001050 remains valid - historical rejection zone ideal for short positioning if price tags these levels.
  • Local Support at 0.00000867, with 0.00000810 as the next support level - both providing reactive zones for short-term pullbacks.
  • 200 EMA is overhead and unclaimed - PEPE is still trading below it, but price action is beginning to show a bullish tilt, with potential trend reversal.
  • Macro double bottom structure formed - indicates a possible long-term bottom may be in place.
  • Despite this, the current move is classified as a short-term relief rally, and the structure is still vulnerable to short-term weakness
  • RSI has room to rise into the short trigger zone, creating an opportunity to fade strength before trend continuation.
  • The downside target for any rejection is 0.00000800, a structural support with strong historical demand.
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  • Next Support: $ 0.00000867
  • Next Resistance: $0.00000920
  • Direction: Bullish
  • Upside Target: $0.00001050
  • Downside Target: $0.00000800

Cryptonary's take

PEPE may have found its macro bottom, but the current move feels like a relief rally within a broader downtrend. This is an opportunity to fade short-term strength with clear invalidation. We're positioning to build shorts between 0.00001000 - 0.00001050, targeting 0.00000800 on the downside.

This would still leave PEPE in bullish structure, but offer a clean high-RR setup as momentum stretches. If we fill and roll over, we'll take profits at support. If momentum sustains and the trend shifts further bullish, we'll reassess for long exposure in the next major swing cycle. For now, the play is tactical - fade strength, secure downside, and remain flexible for larger trend confirmation.


Trump:

Technical analysis & market mechanics

  • The price is trading around $13. $12 is acting as local support following a steep and overextended upside move.
  • $15.73 is the next local resistance - marks the top of the current rally range and aligns with prior rejection.
  • $17.62 is the secondary resistance - a historical pivot where price previously failed to hold.
  • $19.50 is the upper resistance boundary level where exhaustion is likely based on past price behaviour.
  • RSI is currently at 60, trending upward, indicating further upside potential before overbought conditions hit.
  • Structure remains technically bullish in the short term but shows signs of weakening momentum.
  • Trump remains a low-liquidity asset, which amplifies volatility and exposes it to sharp price spikes.
  • Broader meme sector momentum is deteriorating, with similar assets rolling over from local tops.
  • Key downside levels to monitor: $12 - local support, recently flipped and likely to be the first retest zone.
  • $10 - psychological round number and structurally important level.
  • $7.50 - deeper structural support from past cycle pivots.
  • $6.00 - Deeper price point if we see further capitulation from macro and market weakness.
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  • Next Support: $ 12.000
  • Next Resistance: $15.730
  • Direction: Bullish
  • Upside Target: $19.500
  • Downside Target: $7.500

Cryptonary's take

Trump has entered exhaustion territory after an aggressive rally, with momentum fading across the meme coin sector. This sets up a high-conviction opportunity to fade strength, with short entries layered at $15.73, $17.62, and $19.50, and a protective stop at $21.50.

We are targeting $12, $10, $7.50, and $6.00 on the downside. Given the illiquidity and volatility, this setup demands low leverage, wide stops, and tactical execution. The thesis here is simple: meme flows are thinning, and this move looks overdone - let price extend, then position into the unwind.


XRP:

Technical analysis & market mechanics

  • XRP has traded into the previously defined sell zone, but recent price developments prompted a narrowing and upward revision of the zone.
  • Local support at $2.13 - forming the base of the current structure and short-term bounce zone.
  • Local resistance at $2.23 - psychological and structural level that continues to cap price action.
  • $2.355 is the revised key resistance - aligns with diagonal channel resistance and is the first level to monitor for rejection
  • $2.48 remains the next resistance zone - historically reactive with strong seller presence.
  • $2.588 marks the upper resistance boundary - top of the revised short zone and a key liquidity level.
  • RSI is trending higher, showing bullish momentum on the short term, but within a broader bearish context.
  • XRP continues to trade within a long-term descending channel, respecting diagonal resistance and failing to sustain breakouts.
  • RSI is currently trading at a mid-range of 55.00, so we have room to move higher,r and it's not impacting our bias
  • Macro structure remains heavy - each bounce is showing signs of exhaustion at lower highs.
  • Altcoin sentiment remains fragile, and XRP's behaviour continues to reflect broader market psychology.
  • Key downside levels: $1.78 - historically strong support level.
  • $1.62 - mid-channel support, often responsive in trending moves.
  • $1.50 - deep support and psychological level, structurally significant for longer-term holders.
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  • Next Support: $ 2.130
  • Next Resistance: $2.3550
  • Direction: Bullish
  • Upside Target: $2.5880
  • Downside Target: $1.780

Cryptonary's take

XRP's recent rally pushed into the prior sell zone, but new developments have led us to narrow and revise that zone slightly higher. We're now building shorts at $2.355, $2.48, and $2.588, with a stop loss just above $2.80. A structural shift would require strong daily closes above $2.73, which we currently view as low probability.

Our downside targets are $1.78, $1.62, and $1.50, aligning with technical structure and broader sentiment trends. This is a clean continuation play within a long-standing bearish channel. We're not fighting momentum - we're fading into strength with discipline, anticipating that the macro trend will continue to dominate over speculative bounces.


Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.


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