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Market trends indicate potential TON breakout

Updated: Mar 28, 2025
Published: Mar 25, 2025
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TON's recent consolidation shows potential for a breakout, but it remains trapped in a broader bearish trend. Let's take a closer look at how this might play out in the coming weeks.

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Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.

TON

Technical analysis & market mechanics

  • TON continues to consolidate between $3.50 (support) and $3.90 (resistance), holding steady despite broader relief rallies across the market.
    • The $3.90 level has been tested repeatedly and is the key breakout level to watch - a close above opens the door for continuation.
    • If broken, the next resistance zones are $4.35 and $4.75 - high-conviction short levels due to multiple technical confluences.
    • These confluences include a bearish channel drawn since the all-time high top out, which TON continues to respect cleanly.
    • A push into the $4.35-$4.75 zone would be clean overextension within a broader bearish trend.
    • The RSI has slight room to move higher, and a breakout above $3.90 would likely be accompanied by RSI strength - further confirming the upside into short zones. This would then be attractively oversold to back our short thesis.
    • Structurally, TON remains in a bearish trend, so any strength is expected to be short-lived and corrective in nature.
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Cryptonary's take

TON has been consolidating quietly, but that could change quickly. If $3.90 breaks with strength, we expect a late-stage relief rally to carry the price into $4.35 and possibly $4.75. These are the levels where we'll look to build short positions. The setup is clean: an overextended move into a bearish channel aligned with a broader trend structure. This would be one of the most high-conviction shorts on our current watchlist. Execution begins above $4.35, layering into $4.75, with a final stop above $5.30. We stay patient - this one may take time to mature, but the risk-reward is exceptional.

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