Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.

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Quick bridge from last week…

The neutral-bullish stance across majors played out largely as expected. Bitcoin held the $90,200 support cleanly, Solana defended the $135 area and pushed into the $144 zone, and Ethereum successfully held above $3,055, all levels that were highlighted in last week’s analysis and respected by price action.

HyperLiquid was the exception in terms of path, but not outcome. While we had a neutral stance for Hype, we outlined that a loss of $25.2 would open the door to $23.5, which played out precisely after rejection from $28.3 which happened a couple a days ago. Price is now stabilising around that $23.5 zone, where a base may begin to form.

The standout from last week was XMR. We flagged a high probability breakout above its key long term resistance levels before it broke out, and the move followed through almost immediately, delivering a 45-50% expansion post breakout since the MD was posted last Friday. Overall, last week validated the level driven approach, with price reacting around the zones that we highlighted, we now shift focus to today’s Market Direction to assess whether momentum sustains here or now.

TLDR

• Bitcoin (BTC): Holding $90,200 support, neutral-bullish while above it, with $93,150 and $96,000 as upside targets.
• Ethereum (ETH): $3,055 flipped to support, neutral-bullish as long as it holds, targeting $3,287 and $3,436.
• Solana (SOL): Strong relative strength in comparison to all Majors, $135.4 holding as support, bullish stance as long as $135.4 holds, breakout above $144.5 opens $155.8.
• HyperLiquid (HYPE): Basing at key level $23.5 (10th Oct liquidation low), neutral-bullish while holding, reclaim $25.2 needed for upside continuation.
• Aura (AURA): Consolidating around $0.03 still, neutral-bullish bias continues, awaiting Solana strength spills over post Sol breakout.
• Monero (XMR): Confirmed multi-year breakout above $517, bullish continuation with $700 and $900 as next targets.

Bitcoin

TA:

Bitcoin has continued to respect the $90,200 level as support for the past several sessions, validating the level we highlighted repeatedly over the last few sessions. Price has failed to break below it, keeping the broader structure intact.

Since last Friday, price has failed to break below it, keeping the broader structure intact, this supports the continuation of a neutral-bullish bias as long as the $90,200 level holds.

On the upside, $93,150 remains the immediate resistance zone. A clean push into this level would signal renewed upside momentum, with acceptance opening the path toward the next resistance at $96,000.

Loss of $90,200 on a daily closing basis would invalidate the current stance and open a downside rotation toward $86,400. Until that happens, downside remains corrective.

RSI has started to pick up, now hovering around 57 with average around 55, after consolidating near neutral region for several days. The 200 EMA sits near $99,500 and has begun to flatten a bit, reflecting a neutralising higher-timeframe trend.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $90,200
• Next Resistance: $93,150
• Direction: Neutral Bullish
• Upside Target: $96,000
• Downside Target: $86,400

Bitcoin: TA Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

Bitcoin continues to behave exactly as expected, holding $90,200 and consolidating. This prolonged sideways structure, now extending close to two months, points toward consolidation right now, not weakness yet.

As long as BTC remains above $90,200, dips are viewed as corrective, not bearish. A push above $93,150 would likely bring momentum back quickly, with $96,000 acting as the next major decision point.

For now, the neutral-bullish stance remains valid. Structure favours confirmation expected through acceptance and not intraday volatility.

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Ethereum

TA:

Ethereum continues to hold the $3,055 level, which previously acted as resistance through late December and has now cleanly flipped into support. Price has respected this level since the start of January, keeping the structure constructive.

After reclaiming the prior uptrend trendline earlier, ETH briefly slipped below it but is now trading right around this trendline again, creating a compression between trendline resistance above and $3,055 support below.

This squeeze zone is critical, sustained holding above $3,055 while attempting to reclaim the trendline keeps upside continuation in play, whereas failure would shift focus back toward lower range rotation.

On the upside, $3,287 is the next resistance to clear. Acceptance above this level would open the path toward $3,436 as the next upside target. On the downside, loss of $3,055 would expose $2,872 as the next meaningful downside target.

RSI is holding above neutral, hovering around 55 with average around 55 itself, indicating momentum has stabilised and not rolled over. The 200 EMA on the daily timeframe sits near $3,336 and is flattening after a prior downward slope, reflecting a neutral to improving trend backdrop.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $3,055
• Next Resistance: $3,287
• Direction: Neutral-Bullish
• Upside Target: $3,436
• Downside Target: $2,872

Ethereum: TA Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

Ethereum is behaving constructively by holding former resistance as support while compressing near its trendline. This is a healthy setup, especially given momentum has not broken down.

As long as $3,055 holds, pullbacks remain corrective, and the bias stays neutral-bullish. A clean reclaim of the trendline followed by acceptance above $3,287 would strengthen the bullish case meaningfully.

Until that confirmation comes, ETH remains level-driven with our stance being Neutral-Bullish. Structure is improving, but continuation will again depend on acceptance.

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Solana

TA:

Solana continues to show relative strength versus Bitcoin and most majors, with price holding firmly above the $135.4 level that we highlighted as key support in prior analysis.

The $135.4 zone has now been defended multiple times, reinforcing it as a valid support and keeping the broader structure intact.

Price remains capped below $144.5, which continues to act as near-term resistance. This has led to consolidation, but we do believe this resistance will get taken out in the next couple of sessions.

A clean daily close above $144.5 would mark a structural continuation and open the path toward $155.82.

RSI is holding strong around 63 with average at 57, showing the highest momentum among majors. The 200 EMA on the daily timeframe ($160) has begun flattening after a prolonged down slope, signalling improving trend conditions.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $135.4
• Next Resistance: $144.5
• Direction: Bullish
• Upside Target: $155.82
• Downside Target: $126.15

Solana: TA Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

Solana remains one of the strongest major assets structurally, consistently holding higher supports while others consolidate or rotate lower. The defence of $135.4 keeps the bullish continuation thesis alive.

Acceptance above $144.5 would shift Solana into a more bullish continuation phase, with $155.82 as the primary upside objective. Until then, consolidation above support is healthy and keeps Solana positioned favourably relative to the broader market.

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Hyperliquid

TA:

In the prior update, HYPE was neutral after rejecting from $28.39, with a base case of range bound trade between $25.2 support and $26.9 resistance, and the conditional risk that a clean break below $25.2 could open $23.5.

That conditional scenario played out, price lost $25.2, rotated lower, and tapped $23.5, which is now the current reaction zone.

$23.5 matters structurally because it aligns with the Oct 10 liquidation wick low, making this a high importance base building zone.

Since tagging $23.5, price action has started to stabilise and carve a base, suggesting absorption, but this only stays constructive if $23.5 continues to hold.

From a structure perspective, two bullish pathways are now in play. Holding $23.5 supports a recovery back toward $25.2, while a breakdown below $23.5 into the $20-$22 zone followed by a reclaim would form a new local low and set up a potential bullish divergence, an alternative but equally good upside setup.

RSI is hovering around 42 with average at 44, stabilising but still subdued. The 200 EMA $24.2 remains mildly downward sloping, so reclaiming $25.2-$25.5 is still the key trigger to shift structure cleaner bullish.

Key Levels:

• Next Support: $23.5
• Next Resistance: $25.2-$25.5
• Direction: Neutral-Bullish
• Upside Targets: $26.9 and $28.39
• Downside Target: $21.5

Hyperliquid: TA Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

The $23.5 tag wasn’t just a random support hit, it’s the Oct 10 liquidation-low pivot, and that’s exactly the kind of level where a quality base can form if the broader market stays supported. If HYPE continues accepting above $23.5, the probability shifts toward a recovery rotation back into $25.2 first.

Importantly, even a brief deviation below $23.5 is not inherently bearish. A move into the $20-$22 region followed by a reclaim would create a new local low and open the door for a bullish divergence setup, a high-quality reversal structure.

In short, HYPE is positioned in a favourable area structurally. Whether through holding $23.5 directly or via a brief flush and reclaim, both scenarios offer upside potential.

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Aura

TA:

Aura continues to consolidate tightly around the $0.03 region, an area where price has been accumulating for close to a month.

While higher timeframes remain range bound, shorter timeframes are starting to look cleaner, with price action stabilising and forming a more constructive base compared to the prior pullbacks.

Broader conditions are supportive, Solana remains strong, and historically, sustained strength in SOL tends to spill over into Solana beta plays, positioning Aura favourably if momentum continues.

RSI is hovering around 46 with average at 45, showing momentum is neutralised. The 200 EMA on the daily $0.063 is still sloping slightly downward, but a sustained push higher would likely flatten it quickly, which would mark a meaningful structural improvement for Aura on higher timeframes.

• Direction: Bullish
• Action Plan: DCA and Raid

Aura: TA Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

Aura remains in a base building, but the quality of consolidation is improving. As long as price continues to hold and build around the $0.03 region, the risk reward gradually shifts in favour of upside continuation, especially if Solana maintains strength. A decisive expansion from this base would likely flatten the 200 EMA and signal a broader structural shift.

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Monero

TA:

XMR has confirmed the multi year breakout, decisively clearing both $469 and $517, levels that capped price since 2018. This resolves a 7-8 year consolidation structure and marks a transition into higher timeframe price discovery.

Post breakout follow through has been clean and impulsive, with price expanding roughly 40-45% from the breakout zone in a very short span, validating the strength of the move.

The first expansion objective in the $700 region is almost tagged, shifting focus toward the next higher timeframe objective near $900.

Former resistance zones at $517 and $469 now act as primary support on any pullback, significantly reducing the probability of a deep retrace back into the old weekly supply zone ($233-$290).

RSI has broken out alongside price and is currently hovering around 83. While elevated, this is still below historical cycle extremes (94), suggesting momentum can remain extended without requiring an immediate deep reset.

Key Levels:

• Support: $517 and $469
• Direction: Bullish
• Upside Target: $700 and $900

Monero: TA Chart:

Cryptonary’s Take:

XMR is exhibiting one of the cleanest long term breakout structures in the market right now. The speed and follow through post breakout confirm that this is not a false move but a genuine shift after years of compression.

While short term cooling or shallow pullbacks into $517-$469 would be healthy, the broader structure now favors continuation and mostly ideally not a deep retracement. As long as price remains above the former breakout zone, XMR stays firmly bullish, with $900 as the next major higher-timeframe target.

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Closing Thoughts

Bitcoin continues to hold above the $90,200 region, and as long as this level remains intact, higher levels stay in focus. The $93,150-$94,000 zone is the immediate area to watch, followed by $96,000 as the next key upside level, consistent with the framework we’ve carried in recent sessions.

Solana remains the relative strength leader among majors, holding higher levels and sustaining momentum in line with the higher timeframe bullish divergence we highlighted earlier. Hence we expect the $144.52 resistance to get taken for Sol. HyperLiquid is also at a very important area around $23.5 (10th Oct wick low), where price appears to be attempting to form a base.

XMR continues to play out strongly post breakout, with momentum exceeding our expectations so far. Going forward, the focus continues to remain level driven, as level based execution remains the edge in choppy markets like these.

Cryptonary OUT!