Log in

Home
Research
Analysis
Community
  1. Cryptonary
  2. Market Analysis
  3. SOL breakout holds, but bearish signals build
Market Direction

SOL breakout holds, but bearish signals build

Published: Apr 14, 2025
0
Share:

Solana has broken key resistance and flipped funding positive, but momentum is slowing. A hidden bearish divergence signals caution as the next move could go either way.

Post Feature Image

Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.


  • SOL's Open Interest (by number of coins) has spiked higher again, suggesting leverage traders are chasing this move higher.
  • This is also reflected in the Funding Rate moving from negative to positive (Longs chasing in), although Funding has cooled off again in the last 12 hours.
SOL's open interest (by number of coins):

AD_4nXczne3fAXrKKzNshib3_FBCUJclakpYUDjx0qJdWitKvPNQfHUkVC8W3-jVkuJw086JoizMaLyGceCdFEGSa_oYCl9pGKlWbDLfxUfaPG5j_z4L9i3vU0Smwu-Cba7yRTMjtewjhg

Technical analysis

  • SOL has broken out of its local downtrend, and price has also comfortably closed above the key $120 horizontal resistance.
  • Price is currently at a very local horizontal resistance here at $134. However, the main horizontal resistance is higher up at $148.
  • The RSI has also broken out of its downtrend line with the RSI also above it's moving average. But, a hidden bearish divergence is now forming (a lower high in price and a higher high on the oscillator).
  • To the downside, $120 is the horizontal support, with $98 the major horizontal support still.
AD_4nXejskxZ0KDv6MxlavLsPnZ-jTHBTCq85jlKUi3m1O_prhfMH-Ixk7wopobhBjDp8FSqAFugB44-n3e6WsJWODKi4mh042hVr6HbPqMBD4yQYP0XFQxXlhkCFSwU2HxYQZakJjeIaQ
  • Next Support: $120
  • Next Resistance: $148
  • Direction: Neutral
  • Upside Target: $148
  • Downside Target: $120

Cryptonary's take

Price has broken out, and SOL may have completed most of this leg higher, but a push to $148 is still possible. There are some positives for SOL that suggest this move higher can continue, but there also some suggestions that a good portion of the move may have happened already, although we wouldn't be surprised to also see price continue on to $148. This is tricky to call here.

We're still of the view that we're in the midst of a relief rally and that price can test lower again over the coming weeks and months, and therefore we'll be looking to accumulate longer-term Spot bags of SOL between $81 and $112. Patience until then.

Get started for free

Create your free account or log in to read the full article.

​

Netherlands

By signing up, you agree to our Terms & Conditions
Recommended from Cryptonary
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Targets Hit, All Eyes on the Recovery
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Targets...Bitcoin flushed into the Monthly OB at $65,650 before bouncing back, while Ethereum and Solana both ...
14 min read
Feb 6, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Markets Flush to Major Lows
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Markets Flush to...Markets just snapped lower after BTC lost $80.5K and flushed into the $74K liquidity zone. Now we’re...
13 min read
Feb 3, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Bitcoin and Ethereum Tap Key Supports
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Bitcoin and Ethe...A lot has happened in a short amount of time. Downside liquidity has been swept across majors, and w...
13 min read
Jan 30, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Grow Across Majors
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks G...Relief rallies are becoming weaker. Each push into resistance is seeing less expansion, shorter foll...
12 min read
Feb 17, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in...Downside targets across majors have been fulfilled, and price is attempting to hold key support zone...
10 min read
Feb 13, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Stalls, Downside Risks Emerge
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Sta...Last week’s relief rally played out with precision across majors, but the follow-through never came....
10 min read
Feb 10, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Targets Hit, All Eyes on the Recovery
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Targets...Bitcoin flushed into the Monthly OB at $65,650 before bouncing back, while Ethereum and Solana both ...
14 min read
Feb 6, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Markets Flush to Major Lows
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Markets Flush to...Markets just snapped lower after BTC lost $80.5K and flushed into the $74K liquidity zone. Now we’re...
13 min read
Feb 3, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Bitcoin and Ethereum Tap Key Supports
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Bitcoin and Ethe...A lot has happened in a short amount of time. Downside liquidity has been swept across majors, and w...
13 min read
Jan 30, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks Grow Across Majors
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Risks G...Relief rallies are becoming weaker. Each push into resistance is seeing less expansion, shorter foll...
12 min read
Feb 17, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in Play
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Bounce in...Downside targets across majors have been fulfilled, and price is attempting to hold key support zone...
10 min read
Feb 13, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Stalls, Downside Risks Emerge
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Relief Rally Sta...Last week’s relief rally played out with precision across majors, but the follow-through never came....
10 min read
Feb 10, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Targets Hit, All Eyes on the Recovery
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Downside Targets...Bitcoin flushed into the Monthly OB at $65,650 before bouncing back, while Ethereum and Solana both ...
14 min read
Feb 6, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Markets Flush to Major Lows
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Markets Flush to...Markets just snapped lower after BTC lost $80.5K and flushed into the $74K liquidity zone. Now we’re...
13 min read
Feb 3, 2026
BTC, ETH and More: Bitcoin and Ethereum Tap Key Supports
PRO
Market Direction
BTC, ETH and More: Bitcoin and Ethe...A lot has happened in a short amount of time. Downside liquidity has been swept across majors, and w...
13 min read
Jan 30, 2026
Research
Top PicksDeep DivesPassive IncomeAirdrop Reports
Analysis
Market UpdatesMarket DirectionMarket PulseLivestreams
Tools
Market DirectionAssets & PicksAirdropsPortfolio Tracker
Cryptonary
Affiliate programEducationPrivacy PolicyTerms & ConditionsContact UsWrite for usTeam
Stay connected
Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptonary is not a licensed financial advisor. All content is shared without any guarantee of accuracy or completeness. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed professional before making financial choices. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

×
popupimage
Our Latest Utility Token Research ReportPreviously locked for Pro members, now available to read in full.
  • tickThe utility token we're tracking closely
  • tickWhy we believe it's still early in the cycle
  • tickWhat we're watching to confirm a structural shift
​
Netherlands

No spam. No hype. Just the research.