SOL remains stuck in a downtrend as price tests critical support. With major resistance above and macro pressure looming, traders are watching closely for a breakout or a breakdown.
Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.
SOL's Open Interest is down trending, suggesting a less frothy leverage market.
SOL's Funding Rate also remains positive but not too elevated.
Ultimately, from a leverage market perspective, SOL looks positive here, although a flush out would likely see a significant resetting, and longer-term, this may be healthy for SOL.
SOL's Open Interest (by USD value):
Technical analysis
SOL remains in its downtrend channel, with price having rejected the top border of the channel on several occasions.
Price is currently finding support at its main horizontal support of $144. If this level is broken, then the next supports are at $135 and $120. We expect this zone (between $120 and $135) to be a strong support for price.
To the upside, the key levels are $165 and then $185. If there is a breakout in the short term (maybe on war resolution), then we'd expect a move up to $165.
The RSI is in middle territory, and it is battling at its moving average, which may prove to be resistance.
Next Support: $144
Next Resistance: $165
Direction: Bearish
Upside Target: $165
Downside Target: $135
Cryptonary's take
SOL is in a precarious position here, particularly with the uncertainty around the geopolitical picture, which we expect shouldn't last long. However, this uncertainty may result in a short-term breakdown of the price in the coming days/weeks, meaning a test of $135 is possible in that time.
Should SOL breakdown, we would be aggressive buyers of SOL between $100 and $120, whilst we'd be slowly and progressively buying (in lighter sizes) should SOL visit the $120 to $135 range.
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