Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.
TON:
Market context
TON has established a solid range floor at $5.345, with a daily swing low forming around this level. The $5.8 level, which was initially one of the buy boxes, has been traded below, but that's not a concern. What's clear from the price action is that between $4.75 and $5.8, we've consistently seen significant buying pressure. Let's talk about key moments:- On December 9th, there was a huge daily wick, with buying pressure immediately pushing the price back up- a pop and explosion in price.
- Similar price action occurred on December 20th and back in April and August, all of which reinforce the strength of this range.
TON stands out as an exciting protocol with the potential to be a major titan in the cryptocurrency space. It's leading the charge in the utility spectrum and ticks all the boxes for what people look for in a promising blockchain project.
Price action
- TON has held up beautifully, with consistent buying pressure around $4.75-$5.8.
- We're currently sitting at the 50% retracement zone between $2 and $8.2, making this range balanced for accumulation.
- Historical price behaviour confirms this area as a dense support zone where buyers step in strongly.
Playbook
- Spot accumulation: Build positions in and around the $5.8-$4.75 range. Use historical buying pressure as your signal for accumulation.
- Watch for support: Monitor how the price reacts at the $4.75 level to confirm continued demand in this range.
Cryptonary's take
TON is a standout asset, both in its price behaviour and its broader potential in the utility spectrum. The range between $4.75 and $5.8 is clear for accumulation, and historical price action aligns perfectly with a bullish long-term outlook.We're in a prime zone for building positions, and TON's ability to hold strong through market fluctuations speaks to its strength as an asset. This is a very dense, resilient protocol with all the makings of a major player in the crypto space.
AVAX:
Market context
Right, let's take a look at what's going on with AVAX. That $41 buy box we were working with broke down. Price dropped below it, finding support in and around the $35 mark. This shift in levels comes as a lot of altcoins are correlating with their own key levels, either hitting resistance or attempting to reclaim them. $41 remains a key level, but now it's likely to act as resistance in the short term.$35, on the other hand, is where we're seeing support come in. The next few days, especially over the weekend, will be decisive for AVAX and the broader altcoin market as we look for direction and confirmation of these levels.
Price action
Support level
- $35 is now the new buy box and current support zone for AVAX. This is where we'd look to accumulate if price retraces.
Resistance levels
- $41.75: This level, previously a buy box, now looks to act as resistance. If AVAX pushes upward, this is where we'd expect the price to face challenges.
Scenarios to watch:
- Retrace scenario: If the price retraces back down into the $35 buy box, it offers a new accumulation opportunity.
- Reclaim scenario: If AVAX reclaims $41, then we'd use that level as the new buy box, but only after a confirmed break and retest.
Playbook
Spot accumulation
- Focus on the $35 level as the current buy box. If the price revisits this zone, it's a solid opportunity for accumulation.
Reclaim play:
- Wait for the price to reclaim $41 and confirm it as support. Avoid being hasty-there's often a chance to catch the retest before momentum takes off.
Patience is key
- Don't rush into positions. Let the levels confirm themselves first.
Cryptonary's take
The breakdown below $41 shifts our focus to $35 as the new key level for accumulation. The clean support at $35 aligns with the broader market's retrace behaviour, showing that AVAX is still adhering to its technical levels. However, $41.75 remains in play as a potential resistance level. If reclaimed, it could become the next area of interest for building positions.For now, patience is the name of the game. Monitor these levels closely, and don't feel rushed. There's always a chance to catch a proper break and retest. Stick to the plan, watch the levels, and let the market guide the next steps.
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