Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.
Technical analysis & market mechanics
- The price is trading around $13. $12 is acting as local support following a steep and overextended upside move.
- $15.73 is the next local resistance - marks the top of the current rally range and aligns with prior rejection.
- $17.62 is the secondary resistance - a historical pivot where price previously failed to hold.
- $19.50 is the upper resistance boundary level where exhaustion is likely based on past price behaviour.
- RSI is currently at 60, trending upward, indicating further upside potential before overbought conditions hit.
- Structure remains technically bullish in the short term but shows signs of weakening momentum.
- Trump remains a low-liquidity asset, which amplifies volatility and exposes it to sharp price spikes.
- Broader meme sector momentum is deteriorating, with similar assets rolling over from local tops.
- Key downside levels to monitor: $12 - local support, recently flipped and likely to be the first retest zone.
- $10 - psychological round number and structurally important level.
- $7.50 - deeper structural support from past cycle pivots.
- $6.00 - Deeper price point if we see further capitulation from macro and market weakness.
- Next Support: $ 12.000
- Next Resistance: $15.730
- Direction: Bullish
- Upside Target: $19.500
- Downside Target: $7.500
Cryptonary's take
Trump has entered exhaustion territory after an aggressive rally, with momentum fading across the meme coin sector. This sets up a high-conviction opportunity to fade strength, with short entries layered at $15.73, $17.62, and $19.50, and a protective stop at $21.50.We are targeting $12, $10, $7.50, and $6.00 on the downside. Given the illiquidity and volatility, this setup demands low leverage, wide stops, and tactical execution. The thesis here is simple: meme flows are thinning, and this move looks overdone - let price extend, then position into the unwind.
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