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Market Direction

Trump - Technical Analysis

Published: Jun 27, 2025
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TRUMP has been in a slow bleed ever since forming a double top at $15.63 in late April. The structure remains weak, with price trending lower and trading well below its 100 EMA on the daily timeframe.

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Key Levels

  • Upside Target: $15.63
  • Next Support: $9.56
  • Next Resistance: $12.22
  • Downside Target : $7.56
  • Direction: Neutral/Bearish 
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With price sitting far below the 100 EMA at $13.35, the trend is clearly tilted to the downside. The RSI and its average are both hovering around 40, and notably, the RSI has been making consistent lower highs and lower lows since the April top, signaling persistent momentum loss. This confirms that the market remains in a bearish-to-sideways phase, lacking any signs of strength for now.

Scenarios Ahead

  • Bearish Continuation: If $9.56 breaks down, we could see a quick drop to $7.56. The lower highs and weak RSI setup support this scenario unless bulls step in aggressively.
  • Range Formation: If $9.56 holds, TRUMP may chop sideways between $9.56 and $12.22. This would form a base, but until $12.22 is reclaimed, there's no reason to expect a bullish reversal.
  • Breakout Toward Recovery: A reclaim of $12.22 would be the first sign of a trend shift. That could open up a move toward the 100 EMA around $13.35 and possibly $15.61. However, this would require significant momentum pickup, which is not visible yet.

Cryptonary’s Take

TRUMP is in a clear downtrend with fading momentum and no bullish confirmation yet. Unless $12.22 is broken and reclaimed, the structure remains weak. Watch for support at $9.56, failure there brings $7.56 into focus.

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