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Technical Analysis

Watching WIF for a break toward $3.50

Published: Oct 2, 2024
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The breakout above $2.25 confirms bullish momentum, with focus now on consolidation, risk management, and potential upside.

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Market context

The breakout we've been watching closely has officially materialized. WIF is now trading above the critical $2.25 level and has also reclaimed the key trendline that was acting as significant resistance. These two technical confirmations are highly encouraging, and they add to the growing bullish momentum we've identified.
Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.


The correlation between reclaiming this trendline and holding above the $2.25 key support is extremely important for our trade. Historically, this level has provided strong support and resistance, acting as a psychological anchor for both buyers and sellers.

Its current role as support suggests that we could see further upside from here if the level holds over the next few days. At this stage, we are looking for a solid hold of this level into the weekend or next week. If the price is maintained above $2.25 and consolidates, we will be (Me mal) looking to add to the position while also tightening my stop-loss to secure the initial risk on the first position.

WIF-USDC daily chart showing a breakout from the downtrend, with key support and resistance levels marked.

Playbook

1. Key trendline reclaims

The breakout above $2.25 and the trendline reclaims add significant bullish momentum to this trade. This is the first time we've broken out of the wedge convincingly, and we are now looking at a potential move towards the next key resistance levels. Action: Monitor how this level holds. A consolidation period above $2.25 will confirm strength and provide an opportunity to scale up.

2. Entry strategy

Current Position: We're already in a 2x leverage position that is currently in profit. Scaling In: If the price holds above $2.25 into next week, I may look to add another position, bringing my stop-loss up to cover the risk on the first entry. This will effectively reduce downside exposure while allowing me to ride further upside. WIF-USDC chart showing potential upward price movement towards 4.85, highlighting key resistance and support levels.

3. Next targets

Immediate Target: The next critical level to watch is $2.6791. A breakout above this level could open the door for a move toward the $3.50 and $4.20 levels. Longer Term: If volume returns to the market and the trend remains bullish, we could see a test of the all-time highs around $4.82.

4. Risk management

Current Stop-Loss: My stop-loss is currently wide below $1, covering against a significant reversal. New Stop-Loss (Post-Add): If I add to this position, I'll be bringing my stop-loss up to around $2.00 or just under $2.25 to lock in some profit and reduce risk on the combined position.

Trade management

  • Volume: As always, volume is key. While the breakout is promising, I'll be keeping an eye on whether the move is supported by increasing volume. This will confirm the strength of the breakout and the potential for a sustained uptrend.
  • Liquidity zones: We're entering a range with relatively thin liquidity above $2.6791, meaning the price could move quickly if buying pressure increases.
  • Waiting for confirmation: Patience is key right now. We've made the initial breakout, but it's critical to see whether the price holds above $2.25. We will be waiting for this confirmation before adding to the position.

Cryptonary's take

We're in a strong technical setup with a confirmed breakout, but now is the time to stay patient and observe how price reacts at these levels. We are not taking immediate action today, but if the price consolidates above $2.25, I'll be looking to add and adjust my stop-loss accordingly, as explained. I'll discuss this in the video update, and we will probably cover a bit in the live video. In the meantime, play the levels, manage risk, and don't rush into any impulsive actions. The market will give us more clarity soon.

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