Disclaimer: This is not investment nor investment advice. Only you are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make and only you are accountable for the results.
The information made available in this report is NOT for replication. The purpose is to share the thought process behind the DAO’s decision making – additionally this is HIGH RISK journey for the DAO which means capital has also been allocated in accordance with this. Once again, DO NOT REPLICATE.Life is full of Risk:Rewards and we certainly look at investments through that same lens.
The proposal is conditional on a certain price being met to move up the risk curve from our investment made in Proposal #13 with a +565% potential and a risk of -38% if things go wrong.
TLDR: Leveraged bet on Ethereum 2.0 without actual leverage 👀
Status: VotedVotes are finalised after 72Hrs, meaning a final decision is made by the DAO on 3 March 2022.
Proposal #15
Thesis
- ETH2.0 is expected to ship in the summer with expectations of annual yield going towards the 9-12% range for ETH.
- 900 validators will be onboarded per day once serenity is live and the current list includes 15,000+.
- Self-staking is complex, Lido Finance is the most popular solution thus far that also keeps you liquid.
- People will want to access the yield hence buying stETH on the secondary market which will then trade at a premium to ETH (~10%) as it includes yield and queue jump.
- Left side of the IQ curve states stETH sought after? LDO up.
Valuation & Risk Management
I have an inherent bias towards ETH that makes me want to outperform it but in this particular case it would make no sense to go for something that does not outperform the base asset. Hence I propose to purchase 5 ETH’s worth of LDO in the [0.00035-0.00045] range, we would be wrong if LDOETH goes to 0.00028 creating a brand new low - no guarantees price gets to that range FYI. Target would be 0.003 and the timeline is end of summer or whenever ETH2.0 ships. 565% vs -38% (in ETH terms).Research Links:
- My Brain 🧠
- Increased yield on ETH2.0
Implementation Plan
Swap 5 ETH from our Alpha-DAO.ETH address to LDO via MetaMask swap.
Votes: 5 YESComments from DAO members
SC: Hi Karim, would it make sense to use the ETH, which is currently in swing trade, for this proposal? I think it is important to stay liquid as well since the market is still quite volatile. I personally have not made any suggestions yet as most of the things I watch have not issued a token yet, but I think we should have a good chunk of our treasure ready to allocate as well and manage the risk. If you feel the market is in a state where we can go up the "risk curve", maybe it would make sense to use the ETH from trading to move into LIDO?
KA: Ser - read proposal…“Hence I propose to purchase 5 ETH’s worth of LDO”“Swap 5 ETH from our Alpha-DAO.ETH address to LDO via MetaMask swap.”
SC: I see. So that means you are going to close 50% of ETH trade and move it to LIDO? I just wanted to make sure it was actually the funds from the swing trade haha.
KA: Not close, move up the risk curve
SC: I think it's a good investment, to be honest. It looks like it had its worst time in December when the founders and investors unlocked their tokens. The vesting is one year, so there could still be selling pressure, but I feel like most of the panic is over as the market has cooled down as well. I'll have to do some more research before I vote, but it seems like a good bet for 2022.
KA: Chart for reference
KA: Agreed on the above
KA: Do you want to bite the bullet and buy here or await target entry price? - SUBPROPOSAL
Votes: 3 YES (passed)
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