
The ICO was heavily hyped on social media, with multiple KOLs pushing it aggressively across timelines.
Even though we’ve participated in previous ICOs where there was a clear playbook to hedge risk and capture the spread, we passed on this one because we didn't see the play here.
Regardless, Trove raised around $11.5 million in an ICO/presale originally tied to building within the Hyperliquid ecosystem. The initial target was far smaller (around $2.5M), but demand pushed the raise dramatically higher because it was oversubscribed. However, the catch was that it was a commitment-based sale initially, which means people tend to over-commit intentionally because they assume allocations will get scaled down. That’s the standard playbook: you commit big, expecting you’ll be diluted, and you end up with a manageable fill.
But instead of sticking to the original cap, the team effectively just raised it, meaning people ended up risking way more than they meant to, and Trove could raise a lot more capital than the sale was originally framed around.
ICO ran from January 8 to January 11, and stayed relatively smooth… until the final minutes. Just before the sale was set to close, Trove amended the ICO contract to extend the sale, triggering immediate confusion.
Then came the reversal: the team walked the extension back shortly after, turning the end of the sale into a mess. And in the middle of that chaos, accusations started circulating that team members were placing TGE bets on Polymarket with information the market obviously didn’t have.
Ahead of the ICO, Trove was everywhere: timelines, group chats, quote tweets. A lot of the hype didn’t feel organic either. And in hindsight, that matters, because it helped pull in a ton of retail size.
Multiple people in the crypto community shared screenshots alleging that Trove (or people close to the team) were offering paid promo deals to KOLs. Essentially: “post about this, we’ll pay you, easy deliverable.” Some even claimed they were offered meaningful amounts and chose to decline.
At the same time, we had a visible wave of KOLs suddenly wearing Trove badges, promoting and pushing the sale details aggressively.
Below is a list of the KOLs involved; it is quite extensive, which helps explain the level of hype generated. However, this type of coordinated promotion creates highly inorganic buzz, and whenever it occurs, it is important to remain sceptical. It may also be useful to keep the following account in mind for future reference.
List of KOLs who promoted Trove
Because it’s one thing to raise $11.5M and change timelines. It’s another to raise $11.5M on one premise, then pivot chains right after, leaving people feeling like they bought into a product that effectively no longer existed in the form it was marketed.
And it got worse.
ZachXBT pointed out that portions of the funds raised were routed into gambling/ casino-linked addresses, instead of staying parked transparently for product development and runway.
Even if you ignore everything that happened before, the TGE itself was a disaster.
The token listed at around ~$1m FDV with only ~$60k of liquidity behind it, meaning the market was paper-thin from the first second. This is not merely poor execution but a fundamentally irresponsible setup that predictably enabled extreme price manipulation. Given how obvious these dynamics are, it is difficult to view this as accidental to be honest…
And unsurprisingly, it didn’t take long for things to break.
Within hours, the FDV collapsed to roughly ~$500K, which tells you everything: there was no real depth, no real support, and no real plan for a clean open market.
Trove chart right after TGE
Under massive collective pushback, the Trove team published an update explaining what they were keeping (from raised funds) and why. Many hoped that they will get refunded…
Polymarket odds of Trove team refunding ICO participants
However, from the total raise, Trove said they would retain $9.3m to continue building (now framed as a Solana perp DEX), while only $100,000 would be automatically refunded back to ICO participants. It’s tough because most people who participated in this ICO have been simply rekt on this one.They also claimed they had already refunded $2,4m as part of “cleaning up participation and protecting distribution integrity”.
1. Heavy KOL push
One of the earliest warning signs is a heavy KOL push relative to substance. Heavy reliance on influencers, especially when they dominate discourse more than product related topics, often signals an attempt to manufacture demand rather than demonstrate value. While marketing is necessary, hype that precedes code, users, or verifiable milestones should be treated with skepticism. Anytime it feels inorganic, it likely is…
2. The team isn’t doxxed
Team transparency is another critical factor. Anonymous teams can build great products, but in fundraising events, it massively increases counterparty risk. If things go wrong, there’s no accountability. It is important to check the track record of the team before committing funds to them
3. Don’t oversubscribe
Commitment-based sales make people over-commit because they expect dilution. If the cap gets lifted or terms change, you can end up risking way more than intended. Risk management is key here, don’t let greed overtake basic risk management.
4. Team communication matters
Poor comms = poor project, especially in early stages. If they do sudden pivots, last-minute contract edits, or change ICO details mid-flight, treat that as a serious red flag. Get out asap.
A lot of people got burned here, and that’s exactly why the crypto community must push back hard against this kind of behaviour. The only path forward is ruthless accountability and proper due diligence from participants.
At a time when institutional capital is increasingly moving on-chain, and adoption continues to rise, the market should not be rewarding this kind of behaviour.
Peace!
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