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Market Direction

Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction today: Next move after $59k surge?

Updated: Aug 31, 2024
Published: Aug 9, 2024
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  • Bitcoin's Funding Rate is now flat between 0.00% and 0.01%, indicating there is a relatively even balance between Longs and Shorts.
  • Open Interest has now reset to healthier levels. The recent flush-out was needed. OI has reset from $37.5b to $28.3b.
  • Yesterday, Funding Rates went negative, meaning Shorts piled in as price moved up to $59k. This led to a Short-squeeze which then propelled price from $59k to $62k relatively swiftly.
BTC Funding Rate:

Bitcoin OI-weighted funding rate chart showing fluctuations in BTC price and funding rate over time indicating market sentiment

Technical analysis

  • Bitcoin bounced superbly from the horizontal support of $52k, although price had wicked substantially lower.
  • Our first thought was that Bitcoin might begin to form a bear flag, however, this hasn't been the case, and we've seen somewhat of a V-shape recovery so far.
  • We also expected the $58k to $60k level to become new resistance, however, the Short-squeeze pushed price beyond this price zone.
  • For now, the prior horizontal support of $63,400 is likely act as the next major horizontal resistance.
  • To the downside, we believe $56k can be a support area, even if price does dip slightly below this area.
  • The RSI has reset back to neutral territory having been in oversold territory on Monday.
Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.


Cryptonary's take

Whilst we're impressed by how much Bitcoin has recovered so far, we do expect a slight pullback here, and for price to potentially retest the $54k to $56k area over the coming 2-4 days. We believe Bitcoin can be more range bound and we're not expecting any explosive moves past say $63,400 in the near-term, at least not until Powell speaks at Jackson Hole in a few weeks time (Aug 22nd - 24th).

Bitcoin price chart showing key support and resistance levels with RSI indicator displaying market momentum and potential future price movements

 

 

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