Ethereum ($ETH) consolidates between $3,480 support and $4,000 resistance. Record-high open interest and bullish momentum point to further gains despite bearish divergence on oscillators.
Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.
ETH's Open Interest remains at record highs, while the Funding Rate is also elevated, but it is not excessively high.
The reason why ETH's Open Interest is likely so high is likely due to large players taking advantage of the 'cash-and-carry' trade. Buy the ETF and Short ETH Spot, and profit from being paid the Funding Rate.
ETH's open interest:
Technical analysis
Really nice move that, overall, we've called relatively perfectly.
ETH managed to consolidate between $3,280 and $3,480 before now breaking above $3,480 and pushing into $3,600. $4,000 likely soon.
In terms of support, we expect $3,480 to be local support, with $3,280 as a stronger support.
On the upside, we think the main resistance is at $4,000. It's a psychological level as well as a prior resistance level.
One thing to note here is that ETH has put in a bearish divergence (a higher high in price and a lower high on the oscillator). However, it's not in overbought territory, so that's not as bad.
Next Support: $3,480
Next Resistance: $4,000
Direction: Bullish
Upside Target: $4,000
Downside Target: $3,280
Cryptonary's take
ETH's narrative has improved substantially, and price action has been positive for once.
Therefore, we do expect ETH to just grind up to $4,000 in the coming week.
If we get this, we'd expect $3,480 to then become a more major support. Overall, we're positive on ETH here, as we pretty much have been since its lows in the low $ 2,000s.
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