Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice. You are responsible for any capital-related decisions you make, and only you are accountable for the results.
- This weekend's escalation between Iran and Israel saw markets pull back, with BTC's Open Interest pulling back. A healthy development.
- Alongside this, Funding Rates are just about positive, meaning there is no froth from Longs here.
- Overall, this weekend's events have seen a flush in Open Interest, which now provides BTC with a healthier setup to now push higher.
Technical analysis
- Price dropped over the weekend into our main support area between $102.500 and $105,500. Price bounced at $102,600.
- Price has since recovered, and it is now battling at the main horizontal level of $107,000. Price will need to see a few Daily candle closures above this level for confirmation of continued upside.
- Beyond $107,000, the main horizontal resistance is at $110,500 and then the all-time high.
- To the downside, the main support range is between $102,500 and $105,500. We expect to see this area continue to hold as strong support.
- The RSI has pulled back to middle territory, with it now breaching above its moving average.
- Next Support: $102,500
- Next Resistance: $110,500
- Direction: Neutral/Bullish
- Upside Target: $112,000
- Downside Target: $102,500
Cryptonary's take
BTC has recovered well following the escalation this weekend between Iran and Israel, bouncing off the $102,500 horizontal support that we outlined in our last update. We're now looking for BTC to continue showing strength and to close convincingly above $107,000. This would then set up a move back to the highs at $110,500 over the coming days.A close above $107k would strengthen the case for BTC to retest its highs, though macro catalysts like Wednesday's FED decision and ETF flow trends will likely shape near-term direction.
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